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Characterization of the ANWR Ecosystem Team - Mission 2007
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Parameters

Disturbance ¡V ¡¥disturbance is a change to the minimal structure(of a system] caused by a factor external to the level of interest¡¦ (Pickett et al.(1989))

Ecosystem spatial pattern at all scales is the ¡¥system¡¦

Minimal structure ¡V pattern of plant species at the plot level, plant communities at the site level, or physiognomy and production at the regional level.

¡§The dynamic character of terrestrial ecosystems is a function of natural disturbance regimes operating over a  broad range of spatial and temporal scales.  Analysis of human-caused (anthropogenic) impacts in tundra ecosystems requires a means to compare the effects of these disturbances with natural ones.  The distinction between natural and anthropogenic disturbances is made in order to clearly separate those that were part of the landscape before the appearance of man from hose that are the result of man¡¦s activities.   Most anthropogenic disturbances have natural analogues, but the scale or extent of the analogues may be radically different.  In fact, natural and anthropogenic disturbances differ most in magnitude of energy input because in most cases man and Nature are dealing with the same materials.

 

Important aspects of disturbance and recovery in permafrost regions

The physical system

Ice-rich permafrost is a major factor controlling disturbance and recovery in the Arctic.  If the permafrost thaws, thermokarst can be initiated on a large scale, and a critical point is reached where it is difficult or impossible to return the site to its original state within a few decades because of continued subsidence

Thawing of ice causes:

i)                     hydrologic changes(impoundment of water or creation of flowing water

ii)                   thermal changes by decreasing the albedo of the surface and increasing heat flux to the site

iii)                  geochemical changes(usually increased nutrient availability)

Attributes that contribute to thermokarst:

i)                     volume of ground ice in the near surface sediments,

ii)                   steepness of the terrain

iii)                  grain size of the sediments

à disturbance in areas with high amounts of ice, rolling topography, and fine-grained sediments may not stabilize even 30 years after the disturbance

à how these factors are affected by drilling will be related to what the parameters are

How to determine these attributes:

grain size and steepness can be determined from surficial geology maps and digital terrain models(DTMs)

 

Modification of the site following disturbance:

¡§if heat flux to ice-rich terrain is increased by any of a variety of means, such as changes in surface albedo, hydrologic conditions, thermal conductivity of the active layer, snow regime, or local sources of heat(eg. From drilling machinery?) thermokarst is likely the result.  The control on heat flux are complex.  The radiation balance and thermal properties of the soil are affected by position, depth of the moss carpet, bulk density of the soil, vegetation cover, snow cover, and moisture regimes.  Deep organic layers and thick moss carpets are good insulators against heat flux unless the organic material is saturated, as is often the case in low microsites.  Physically based models of heat flux now offer predictions of changes to annual thaw depth in response to climate change..  The thermal stability of the site constrains the time required for vegetation recovery ad the type of vegetation that will reoccupy the site.  Perhaps nowhere on earth is the synergistic link between physical stability of the substrate and vegetation recovery more evident than in permafrost regions (Walker 1991).

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Some ideas we had on 11/18 at 3am....

Parameters:

We are considering the following aspects of the environment and oil drilling impact as parameters for environmental impact and threshold limit:

Degree of destruction depends not only on the intensity and kind of disruption but upon the kinds of vegetation, soil, permafrost and animal life that were there.  What mainly affects vegetational re-establishment difficulty were soil destruction -by compacting, and by melting of the underlying permafrost

Factors:

Vegetation

--> characteristics to consider

-distribution of vegetation types

- snowcover

- plant biomass

- nutrient and fiber content

- phenology

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others:

- permafrost thaw depths

* in 1970 Ives established a formula relating fragility of tundra to destruction and physical factors.  He suggested that fragility of tundra to destruction is directly proportional to the ice content of hte permafrost and inversely proportional to the mean ground temperature.

F µ i / tg

F: tundra fragility, i: percentage ice content of the permafrost, tg mean annual ground temperature

notes: 

Cannot bear high pressure (quantitative?)

Excessive water not necessarily good (small plants may drown) ¡Vroadside flooding. If permafrost thaws, will promote higher plants like willows.

Temp affects microbiological processes (0-10 degrees celcius, do better, then more nutrients).

Plants will die under the platforms area, sunlight gone.

Some plants insulate permafrost, forming organic mat, helping other plants to grow.

¡§The impact from seismic vehicles and lines depends on the type of vegetation, texture, and ice content of the soil, the surface shape, snow depth, and type of vehicle¡¨ (arctic.fws.gov/issues1.html)

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Snowcover:

- 'measurable, low-level disturbance occurs at depths of as much as 45 cm in tussock tundra, and 72 cm in sedge-shrub tundra. Moderate disturbance occurs at snow depths to 25 cm in tussock tundra and 35 cm in moist sedge-shrub tundra

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Permafrost

Mosses-lichens (insulate): Permafrost underneath destroyed.

Thaw depths 7-12 cm greater in disturbed plots (¡§Response of arctic tundra plant communities to winter vehicle disturbance¡¨)

 

Overall digging etc will melt permafrost, affecting plant growth in the area.

¡§If permafrost thaws, thermokarst can be initiated on a large scale, and a critical point is reached where it is difficult or impossible to return the site to its original state within a few decades because of continued subsidence.¡¨ (Walker)

-The thawing of ground ice causes hydrologic changes due to the impoundment of water or creation of flowing water.

-Thermal changes by decreasing the albedo of the surface and increasing heat flux to the site.

-Geochemical changes, usually in the form of increased availability of nutrients.

¡§Three major attributes of the physical system contribute to thermokarst in permafrost regions:

-volume of ground-ice in the near surface sediments

-steepness of the terrain

-grain size of the sediments

Disturbance in areas with high amounts of ground ice, rolling topography, and fine-grained sediments may not stabilize even 30 years after the disturbance. The grain-size and steepness ¡Vsurficial geology maps and digital terrain models¡K volume of ground ice.¡¨

¡§The controls on heat flux are complex: the radiation balance and thermal properties of the soil are affected by topographic position (slope and aspect), depth of the moss carpet, bulk density of the soil, vegetation cover, snow cover, and moisture regimes¡K The thermal stability of the site constrains the time required for vegetation recover and the type of vegetation that will reoccupy the site.¡¨

 

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Last updated: Dec 1, 2003 Team 5 - m2007-5@mit.edu