Extremely interesting article on the debate about whether the increased frequency and intensity of storms is caused by global warming or the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, a natural boom and bust cycle of hurricanes. This debate has a created a giant rift among scientists and many say evidence and studies point to global warming. On the other hand, the NOAA seems to want to quiet that notion and blame the natural cycle. Read and decide what do you think is the reason?

A new wind-wave prediction model, called the North Atlantic hurricane (NAH) wave model was developed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). Currently in use there for the Atlantic hurricane season, it gives predictions of maximum wave heights and extreme sea states, from the hurricane, up to 48 hours in advance.

The National Institute of Science and Technology (NIST) did an examination of the wreckage from Hurricane Katrina and Rita and concluded several things. There doesn’t have to be that much damage! Much of it can be further prevented by applying and enforcing codes, building more carefully, and adjusting infrastructure to withstand storm surges. In fact, they suggest all hurricane-prone regions should learn lessons from the well-prepared Florida. Read more about their recommendations for hurricane protection.

If you don’t have time to read the NIST’s report above this reference, this article sums up its main recommendations. Generally it calls for stronger application of codes, better science for forecasting storm surges, licensing of roofing contractors, and assessment of coastal bridges throughout the nation for improvements. To know more about what should be done, read the quick, concise article.

Interestingly enough, this article was written in 1989. It makes a good point about how countries should approach disasters. First of all, available technology should not be ignored. Disaster-prone areas need to be more educated, especially less publicized areas so they may be more prepared. There should be more money funded to research projects. A good incentive would be to save the economy; spending money now will help save the economy in the long run by preventing damage. Now think: was any of this applied or noticeable during Hurricane Katrina and after? Perhaps some of these old principles could be applied today…

Any comments or questions? Please send them to lisataco@mit.edu