THE IMPACT OF A SECURITIES TRANSACTION TAX ON FINANCIAL MARKETS AND INSTITUTIONS

in Securities Transaction Taxes: False Hopes and Unintended Consequences, edited by Suzanne Hammond, 1995. Chicago, IL: Catalyst Institute.

John Heaton and Andrew W. Lo

A securities transactions tax is likely to have far-reaching and profound implications for the financial systems and institutions. We evaluate the effect that a transactions tax will have on the financial system's role in transferring resources over time and in allocating risk efficiently across individuals and sectors. In particular, we examine the impact of a transactions tax on individual investors due to the reduction in the rate of return on savings, the reduction in trading, and the likely reduction in the value of stocks. We also consider the possible effects of a transactions tax on market liquidity. By reducing the informational role of prices and reducing market liquidity, a transactions tax may result in higher market volatility. We provide a simple numerical example that illustrates the enormous impact such a tax will have on the derivatives markets, where participants rely heavily on dynamic trading strategies to control risk. This sector of the financial system, along with its jobs, revenues, and risk-management capabilities are likely to move offshore in response to the tax.

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