Managing International Conflict:
from Theory to Policy

by Lincoln P. Bloomfield and Allen Moulton

including Cascon software
and historical conflict database

St. Martin's Press, New York, 1997
ISBN: 0-312-13675-7

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[St. Martin's Press web page]

Part I. Understanding Conflict

Chapter 1. Why Conflict?

  • Explanations from International Relations Theory
  • Violence and Human Nature
  • A Note About Language

Chapter 2. The Age of Local Conflict: A Short History

  • The Cold War Backdrop
  • The Age of "Small Wars"
  • Arms and Conflict
  • The New World Disorder
  • Good News/Bad News

Chapter 3. The Conflict Map: Continuity and Change

  • Thinking about the Future
  • The Emerging Conflict Agenda

Part II. Managing Conflict

Chapter 4. Heading off Conflicts Before They Happen: Early Warning and Preventive Diplomacy

  • First Best: Dispute Settlement and Conflict Resolution
  • Three Strategies of "Preventive Diplomacy"
  • Early Warning
  • The Psychological Barriers to Conflict Prevention

Chapter 5. Policing the Global Neighborhood: Who Does What?

  • The United Nations as Conflict Manager
  • The Regional Approach: A Possible Solution?

Chapter 6. The Quest for Security: Ideals and Reality

  • Enforcement In an Imperfect Community
  • Collective Security Against Aggression
  • Other International Crimes and Misdemeanors
  • A Strategy for the Future
  • Redefining US Interests
  • Fragments of Community: A Realistic Prescription

Part III. Analyzing Conflict

Chapter 7. The Anatomy of Conflict: Toward a Theory of Conflict Prevention

  • The Dynamics of Conflict
  • Implications of Theory
  • Some Policy Inferences from Theory
  • A Suggestive Experiment

Chapter 8. Theory into Practice: The Evolution of Cascon

  • The U.S. Government Flirts With Cascon
  • The United Nations Takes the Plunge
  • Cascon in the University
  • Renewed Professional Interest
  • Cascon as a Lecture Tool and “Lab” Exercise

Chapter 9. Conflict Analysis With Cascon

  • What Kinds of Questions can Cascon Help Answer?
  • What Does Cascon Do?
  • A Bureaucratic Scenario
  • Structuring Conflict History for Cascon Analysis
  • Identifying Phases
  • Coding Factors
  • Historical Analogy
  • Finding Patterns in Cascon
  • Profile Cases
  • Implications for Conflict Management

Chapter 10. The Cascon Users Guide

  • Starting a Cascon Session
  • Looking at the Database: Cases
  • Making User Case Groups
  • Looking at the Database: Factors
  • Making User factor Groups
  • Comparing Cases
  • Creating and Revising User Cases
  • Using Profile Cases
  • Printing
  • Some Examples of Analysis With Cascon

Appendix: A Selective Annotated Bibliography on Conflict by Brian Burgoon