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i/s Back IssuesVolume 12
No. 5 What Will Be: A Look at Life in the Information AgeLee Ridgway In his wide-ranging book, What Will Be: How the New World of Information Will Change Our Lives (HarperEdge), Michael Dertouzos weighs in with his views on the twenty-first-century Information Age. Dertouzos looks at the future from a special vantage point: as Director of MIT's Laboratory for Computer Science, he has been present at the creation of many of the technology developments that have brought us to where we are today, as well as those that may take us beyond 2001. Dertouzos, a good storyteller, builds his narrative on whatever resources he needs to establish context, make his points, and keep the reader interested. This means that we get not only predictions, but also history, philosophy, and anecdotes. Given Dertouzos' role at the forefront of computer research, education, and policy-making, many of his stories are autobiographical. It is this personal experience that lends credence to even the most far-out of Dertouzos' visions, for he has witnessed technological fantasy become reality in his labs. The bulk of What Will Be presents new and often fantastic technology, its application to human lives, and our interactions with it. Examples include auto-cooks, Guardian Angel software that contains a person's complete medical history from birth, and the ability to experience a remote concert "live" from the comfort of your own living room. Automatization, which Dertouzos refers to frequently, will occur "when interconnected computers `understand' enough about one another to work together." One example of automatization is electronic forms (e-forms). These will depend on industry consensus on terms - so that, for example, you could query any airline's reservation system and book a flight in a matter of seconds. While provocative, and presented in scenarios that readers can relate to, many of these developments will be familiar to those who keep up with technological visionaries (for example, William Mitchell in City of Bits and Mark Stefik in Internet Dreams). What sets Dertouzos apart in this book is that he takes a realistic look at where we are and what may be possible. He also points out what is hype or unlikely to happen for decades. The Information Marketplace Dertouzos sees information technology exerting such a profound socio- economic change on the world that it will equal in scale and impact the Industrial Revolutions of the mid-eighteenth and late-nineteenth centuries. The Industrial Revolution made possible the off-loading of muscle work onto machines. Similarly, the Information Revolution will off-load a considerable amount of brain work onto machines. In Dertouzos' view, the centerpiece of the twenty-first century will be the Information Marketplace, where people and computers buy, sell, and freely exchange information and information services. In this marketplace, just about anything can be classified as information. Dertouzos uses clever examples to define what information is and how it can be thought of as a noun (e.g., a memo or database) or verb (e.g., an accountant's work on a tax return). The latter, which Dertouzos also calls "information work," is equivalent to physical labor during the Industrial Revolution - and he sees no fundamental difference between the economic value of physical and information work. Accepting the possibility that huge numbers of physical things, events, and actions can be described as information leads to Dertouzos' Five Pillars of the Information Age. These Pillars, expanded upon in the book's Appendix, are his way of explaining in minimal terms what the new technologies of information are all about. 1. Numbers are used to represent all information. 2. These numbers are expressed with 1s and 0s. 3. Computers transform information by doing arithmetic on these numbers. 4. Communications systems move information around by moving these numbers. 5. Computer and communications systems combine to form computer networks. These are the basis of tomorrow's information infrastructures, which in turn are the basis for the Information Marketplace. A Human Context Dertouzos often discusses technology at great length before addressing its broader social and cultural implications. Many of the developments envisioned by Dertouzos have to do with very intimate, physical, and exotic interfaces and processes between human and machine. Such interactions raise serious ethical and moral questions. Dertouzos recognizes this, but does not probe these issues as fully as he examines the technology itself. Thorough discussion of these topics could fill another book. One of Dertouzos' aims in What Will Be, very much related to his consideration of the human context for technology, is to reconcile what he sees as the polarized views of technologists and humanists - what he calls the humie-techie split. The origins of the split are in the Enlightenment, when the pursuit of reason, scientific thinking, and technology became separated from the concerns of faith, morality, and the arts. This split became more pronounced during the Industrial Revolution and into the twentieth century. This polarization could be aggravated further by information technology, with its disregard for people's physical proximity and its disembodiment of reality into virtuality. In the closing section of the book, "The Age of Unification," Dertouzos discusses the need to resolve the humie-techie split. In so doing, he reveals the roles faith and reason play in his own thinking about technology and life. He makes a strong case for how they can strengthen our thinking and actions if we learn to use them in concert. The humie- techie balance Dertouzos seeks in his own life needs to be extended to the larger world, where technological and social issues have become increasingly intertwined. In an optimistic, closing flourish, Dertouzos sees technology and humanity reunited and paving the way for greater understanding of ourselves. i/s Home | i/s Back Issues | Volume 12 | No. 5 |