Sterman, J. (2001) Instructor’s Manual for Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking for a Complex World. Irwin/McGraw-Hill.

Morecroft, J. D. W., & Sterman, J. D., Eds. (1994). Modeling for Learning Organizations. Portland, OR: Productivity Press.

Journal Articles

Ford, D. and J. Sterman (2003). "Overcoming the 90% Syndrome: Iteration Management in Concurrent Development Projects." Concurrent Engineering: Research and Applications 11(3) 177-186.

Ford, D. and J. Sterman (2003). "The Liar's Club: Concealing Rework in Concurrent Development." Concurrent Engineering: Research and Applications 11(3), 211-220.

Oliva, R., J. D. Sterman, et al. (2003). "Limits to Growth in the New Economy: Exploring the 'Get Big Fast' Strategy in e-commerce." System Dynamics Review 19(2), 83-117.

Repenning, N. and J. D. Sterman (2003). "E' difficile creare interesse resolvendo problemi che nonsi sono mai manifestati." Quaderni di Management 2 (March-April):
70-97. Originally published in Calif. Management Review, 2001 (Winner, 2001 Accenture Prize for Best Paper in Calif. Mgt. Rev.)

Sterman, J. (2002). All Models are Wrong: Reflections on Becoming a Systems Scientist: 2002 Jay W. Forrester Award Address System Dynamics Review 18(4) 2002: 501-531.

Repenning, N. and J. Sterman (2002). "Capability Traps and Self-Confirming Attribution Errors in the Dynamics of Process Improvement." Administrative Science Quarterly. 47, 265-295.

Sterman, J., ed. (2002). The Global Citizen: Celebrating the Life of Dana Meadows. System Dynamics Review. 18(2), Summer 2002 (Guest Editor, special issue).

Repenning, N. and J. Sterman (2002). "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened." IEEE Engineering Management Review 30(4): 64-78. Originally published in Calif. Management Review, 2001 (Winner, 2001 Accenture Prize for Best Paper in Calif. Mgt. Rev.)

Sterman, J. D. (2002). "System Dynamics Modeling: Tools for Learning in a Complex World." IEEE Engineering Management Review 30(1): 42-52. Originally published in Calif. Management Review, 2001.

Sterman, J. D. (2002). "Dana Meadows: Thinking Globally, Acting Locally." System Dynamics Review 18(2) 101-107.

Sterman, J. D. and L. Booth Sweeney (2002). "Cloudy Skies: Assessing Public Understanding of Global Warming." System Dynamics Review 18(2), 207-240

Sterman, J. D. (2002). System Dynamics Modeling for Project Management. Projects and Profits. II: 46-50.

Oliva, R. and J. Sterman (2001). “Cutting Corners and Working Overtime: Quality Erosion in the Service Industry.” Management Science. 47(7), 894-914.

Sterman, J. (2001). “System Dynamics Modeling: Tools for Learning in a Complex World.” California Management Review 43(4): 8-25.

Repenning, N. and J. Sterman (2001). “Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement.” California Management Review 43(4): 64-88. Winner, 2001 Accenture Award for best paper published in CMR.

Sweeney, L. and Sterman, J. (2000) Bathtub Dynamics: Initial Results of a Systems Thinking Inventory, System Dynamics Review, 16(4), 249-294.

Sterman, J. (2000) Learning in and About Complex Systems. Reflections (The Journal of the Society for Organizational Learning). 1(3), 24-29.

Sterman, J. D., & Wittenberg, J. (1999). Path Dependence, Competition and Succession in the Dynamics of Scientific Revolution. Organization Science. 10(3), 322-341
.
Keating, E., R. Oliva, N. Repenning, S. Rockart, and J. Sterman (1999) Overcoming the Improvement Paradox, European Management Journal 17(2), 120-134.

Ford, D., & Sterman, J. (1998). Expert Knowledge Elicitation for Improving Mental and Formal Models. System Dynamics Review. 14(4), 309-340.

Ford, D. N., & Sterman, J. D. (1998). Dynamic Modeling of Product Development Processes. System Dynamics Review, 14(1), 31-68.

Sterman, J. D., Repenning, N., & Kofman, F., (1997). Unanticipated Side Effects of Successful Quality Improvement Programs: Exploring a paradox of organizational improvement. Management Science. 43(4), April, 503-521.

Cavaleri, S., & Sterman, J. (1997). Towards Evaluation of Systems Thinking Interventions: A Case Study. System Dynamics Review. 13(2).

Risch, J., Troyano-Bermúdez, L., & Sterman, J. D. (1995). Designing Corporate Strategy with System Dynamics: A Case Study in the Pulp and Paper Industry. System Dynamics Review, 11(4), 249-274.

Diehl, E., & Sterman, J. D. (1995). Effects of Feedback Complexity on Dynamic Decision Making. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 62(2), 198-215.

Haxholdt, C., Kampmann, C., Mosekilde, E., & Sterman, J. D (1995) Mode Locking and Entrainment of Endogenous Economic Cycles. System Dynamics Review. 11(3), 177-198.

Sterman, J. D. (1994) Learning in and about Complex Systems. System Dynamics Review. 10 (2-3), 291-330.

Paich, M., & Sterman, J. D. (1993). Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in Experimental Markets. Management Science.39(12), 1439-1458.

Graham, A. K., Morecroft, J. D., Senge, P. M., & Sterman, J. D. (1992), Model Supported Case Studies for Management Education. European Journal of Operational Research. 59(1), 151-166.

Sterman, J. D. (1992). Teaching Takes Off: Flight Simulators for Management Education. OR/MS Today(October), 40-44.

Sterman, J. D. (1992). Long Wave Decline and the Politics of Depression. Bank Credit Analyst, 44(4), 26-42.

Sterman, J. D., 1990, A long Wave Perspective on the Economy in the 1990s. Bank Credit Analyst. 42(1), 28-47.

Davidsen, P., J. Sterman, and G. Richardson, 1990. A Petroleum Life Cycle Model for the United States with Endogenous Technology, Exploration, Recovery, and Demand. System Dynamics Review. 6(1), 66-93.

Sterman, J., 1989a. Misperceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Decision Making. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 43(3), 301-335.

Sterman, J., 1989b. Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment. Management Science. 35(3), 321-339.

Sterman, J., 1989c. Deterministic Chaos in an Experimental Economic System Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 12, 1-28.

Ozveren, C. and J. Sterman, 1989. Control Theory Heuristics for Improving the Behavior of Economic Models. System Dynamics Review. 5(2), 130-147.

Sterman, J., 1988a. Modeling the Formation of Expectations: The History of Energy Demand Forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting. 4, 243-259.

Sterman, J., 1988b. Deterministic Chaos in Models of Human Behavior: Methodological Issues and Experimental Results. System Dynamics Review. 4, 148-178.

Sterman, J., G. Richardson, P. Davidsen, 1988. Modeling the Estimation of Petroleum Resources in the United States. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 33(3) 219-249.

Sterman, J., 1987a. Testing Behavioral Simulation Models by Direct Experiment. Management Science. 33(12), 1572-1592.

Sterman, J., 1987b. Expectation Formation in Behavioral Simulation Models. Behavioral Science. 32, 190-211.

Sterman, J., 1986a. The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence. System Dynamics Review. 2(2), 87-125.

Sterman, J., 1986b. Debt, Default, and Long Waves: Is History Relevant? Bank Credit Analyst. 38(5), 28-42.

Sterman, J., 1985a. A Behavioral Model of the Economic Long Wave Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 6, 17-53.

Sterman, J., 1985b. An Integrated Theory of the Economic Long Wave. Futures. 17, 104-131.

Sterman, J., 1985c. The Growth of Knowledge: Testing a Theory of Scientific Revolutions with a Formal Model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 28(2) 93-122.

Rasmussen, S., E. Mosekilde, and J. Sterman, 1985. Bifurcations and Chaotic Behavior in a Simple Model of the Economic Long Wave. System Dynamics Review. 1(1) 92-110.

Sterman, J., and G. Richardson, 1985a. An Experiment to Evaluate Methods for Estimating Fossil Fuel Resources. Journal of Forecasting. 4(2), 197-226.

Sterman, J. and D. L. Meadows, 1985a. STRATEGEM-2: A Microcomputer Simulation Game of the Kondratiev Cycle. Simulation and Games. 16(2), 174-202.

Wang, Q. and J. Sterman, 1985. A Disaggregate Population Model of China. Simulation. 45(1) 7-14.

Sterman, J., 1984a. Appropriate Summary Statistics for Evaluating the Historical Fit of System Dynamics Models. Dynamica. 10(2) 51-66.

Sterman, J., 1983a. Economic Vulnerability and the Energy Transition. Energy Systems and Policy. 7(4), 259-301.

Sterman, J., 1982a. A Dynamic, Disequilibrium Model of Energy-Economy Interactions. International Journal of Energy Systems. 2(3) 159-163.

Maloney, S. and J. Sterman, 1982. Policy Analysis of the Low-Level Radioactive Waste-Disposal Problem in the United States. Nuclear Safety. 23(3) 300-309.

Chapters in Edited Volumes

Sterman, J. D. (forthcoming). Market Growth, Collapse, and Failures to Learn from Interactive Simulation Games. Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, Paris; Oxford, UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers.

Sterman, J. D. (forthcoming). Supply Chain Dynamics, the 'Beer Distribution Game' and Misperceptions in Dynamic Decision Making. Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, Paris; Oxford, UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers.

Sterman, J. D. and L. Booth Sweeney (2005). Managing Complex Dynamic Systems: Challenge and Opportunity for Naturalistic Decision Making Theory. How professionals make decisions. In H. Montgomery, R. Lipshits and B. Brehmer (eds). Mahwah, NJ, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates: 57-90.

Ancona, D., L. Bailyn, J. Sterman et al. (2003). What do we really want? A manifesto for the organization of the 21st century. Inventing the Organizations of the 2st Century. T. Malone, R. Laubacher and M. Scott Morton (eds.) Cambridge, MA, The MIT Press: 325-332.

Sterman, J. D. (2002). “A Behavioral Model of the Economic Long Wave,” in. The Legacy of Herbert Simon in Economic Analysis. P. E. Earl. (ed.), Cheltenham, UK, Edward Elgar, 101-140. Reprinted from J. Econ. Beh. and Org. (1985).

Repenning, N. P., & Sterman, J. D. (2000). Getting Quality the Old Fashioned Way: Self-Confirming Attributions in the Dynamics of Process Improvement. In Scott, R. & Cole, R. (Eds.), The Quality Movement in America: Lessons for Theory and Research . Newbury Park, CA: Sage, 201-235.

Paich, M. and J. Sterman (2000). Boom, bust, and failures to learn in expermental markets. Strategisches Management im Zeichen von Umbruch und Wandel (Festchrift for Erich Zahn). S. Foschiani, W. Habenicht, U. Schmid and G. Waescher, eds. Stuttgart, Schäffer-Poeschel Verlag, 117-150. Reprinted from Management Science.

Oliva, R., Rockart, S., & Sterman, J. D. (1998). Managing Multiple Improvement Efforts. In Goush, S. (Eds.), Advances in the Management of Organizational Quality , Vol 3. Stamford, CT: JAI Press, 1-55.

Carroll, J. S., Sterman, J. D., & Marcus, A. A. (1998). Playing the Maintenance Game: How Mental Models Drive Organizational Decisions. In Stern, R. R. & Halpern, J. J. (Eds.), Nonrational Elements of Organizational Decision Making Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 99-121.

Mosekilde, E., & Sterman, J. D. (1994). Business Cycles and Long Waves. In Semmler, W. (Ed.), Business Cycles: Theory and Empirical Methods. Kluwer Academic Publishers, 13-51.

Radzicki, M. S., & Sterman, J. D. (1994). Evolutionary Economics and System Dynamics. In Englund, R. (Ed.), Evolutionary Concepts in Contemporary Economics. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 61-89.

Kampmann, C., Haxholdt, C., Modekilde, E., & Sterman, J. D. (1993). Entrainment in a Disaggregated Long Wave Model. In Leydesdorff, L. v. (Eds.), Evolutionary Economics and Chaos Theory Pinter.

Sterman, J. D. (1994) “Beyond Training Wheels,” in Senge, Peter et al. (eds.) The Fifth Discipline Fieldbook. New York: Doubleday/Currency, 177-184.

Mosekilde, E., Larsen, E. R., Sterman, J. D., & Thomsen, J. S. (1993). Mode Locking and Nonlinear Entrainment of Macroeconomic Cycles. In Day, R. & Chen, P. (Eds.), Nonlinear Economics and Evolutionary Economics New York: Oxford University Press.

Mosekilde, E., Larsen, E. R., & Sterman, J. D., 1991. Coping with complexity: Deterministic chaos in human decisionmaking behavior. In Casti, J. L. & Karlqvist, A. (Eds.), Beyond Belief: Randomness, Prediction, and Explanation in Science (199-229). Boston: CRC Press.

Thomsen, J. S., Mosekilde, E., & Sterman, J. D., 1991. Hyperchaotic Phenomena in Dynamic Decision Making. In Singh, M. G. a. T.-M., L. (Eds.), Decision Support Systems and Qualitative Reasoning (149-154). Amsterdam: Elsevier Science Publishers.

Senge, P., & Sterman, J. D. (1991). Systems Thinking and Organizational Learning: Acting Locally and Thinking Globally in the Organization of the Future. In Kochan, T. & Useem, M. (Eds.), Transforming Organizations Oxford: Oxford University Press, 353-371.

Graham, A., P. Senge, J. Sterman, and J. Morecroft, 1989. Computer-Based Case Studies in Management Education and Research. In Milling, P. and E. Zahn (eds), Computer Based Management of Complex Systems. Berlin: Springer Verlag, 317-326.

Sterman, J., 1988c. Nonlinear Dynamics in the World Economy: The Economic Long Wave, in P. Christiansen and R. Parmentier (eds.) Structure, Coherence, and Chaos in Dynamical Systems. Manchester: Manchester University Press.

Sterman, J., 1988d. A Skeptic's Guide to Computer Models, in L. Grant, Foresight and National Decisions. Lanham, MD: University Press of America, 133-169. Revised and Reprinted in: Barney, G., Kreutzer W., and Garrett, M. (1991) Managing a Nation. Boulder, CO: Westciew Press, 209-230.

Sterman, J., 1987c. The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence, in T. Vasko (ed.) The Long Wave Debate. Berlin: Springer Verlag, 127-161.

Sterman, J., 1987d. Debt, Default, and Long Waves: Is History Relevant? in Bank Credit Analyst (ed.) The Escalation in Debt and Disinflation: Prelude to Financial Mania and Crash? Montreal: BCA Publications.

Other

Sterman, J. D. (2001). Fine-Tuning Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part I. The Systems Thinker 12(5): 6-7.

Sterman, J. D. (2001). Fine-Tuning Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part II. The Systems Thinker 12(6): 6-7.

Sterman, J. D. (1997). Superstitious Learning. The Systems Thinker, 8(5), 1-5.

Sterman, J. D. (1994). The Meaning of Models. Science, 264(15 April), 329-330.

Morecroft, J. and J. Sterman, eds. (1992) Modelling for Learning. Special issue of European Journal of Operational Research. 59(1).

Sterman, J. 1993. Caught by the Long Wave. Toronto Globe and Mail, 20 February.

Sterman, J., 1983. The Long Wave. Science. 219 (18 March), 1276.

Computer Software & Management Flight Simulators

Sterman, J. 2002 B & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator. Available at www.forio.com.

Sterman, J., 1988. People Express Management Flight Simulator. Software and Briefing Book. Available from Global Strategy Dynamics www.strategydynamics.com/
Sterman, J. D. and B. Bakken 1993. Commercial Real Estate Management Flight Simulator. Software (for Macintosh) and Briefing Book. Available from author, Sloan School of Management, MIT E53-351, Cambridge MA 02142.

Sterman, J. D., and B. Bakken 1993. International Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator. Software (for Macintosh) and Briefing Book. Available from author, Sloan School of Management, MIT E53-351 Cambridge MA 02142.

Sterman, J. D., & Fiddaman, T. (1993) The Beer Distribution Game Flight Simulator. Software (for Macintosh) and Briefing Book. Available from author, Sloan School of Management, MIT E53-351 Cambridge MA 02142.

Sterman J., 1985. STRATAGEM-2: A Microcomputer Simulation of the Kondratiev Cycle. Software (for Macintosh or IBM) and Briefing Book. Available from author, Sloan School of Management, MIT E53-351, Cambridge MA 02142.