Spring 2009 Seminar Series

DATE: April 23rd
LOCATION: E51-057
TIME: 4:15pm
Reception immediately following in the ORC ConferenceRoom, E40-106

SPEAKER:
Ed Kaplan

TITLE
Estimating HIV incidence in the United States

ABSTRACT
Prior estimates of HIV incidence in the United States derived from assumptions that, though not unreasonable at the time first employed, have become increasingly untenable. For years, the CDC reported 40,000 new HIV infections annually in the US. We developed new probability models and statistical procedures to estimate the chance that a newly-infected person will be detected as recently infected. Together with the development of an HIV test that detects recent infection, these procedures have enabled the CDC to estimate annual HIV incidence in the United States from HIV/AIDS surveillance data.
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