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Spring 2002 Table
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Listening for Hurricanes from the Sea Floor
by Andrea Cohen, MIT Sea Grant
Interested
in figuring out just how dangerous a hurricane might be? All you
need is a sense of adventure, a bit of expertise, and a P3 Orion
plane to pilot directly into the eye of the storm. Well, it's not
for everybody, but this dramatic method is in fact currently the
best way to measure the maximum wind speed of a hurricane, and thus
its potential risk to humans. It's also an expensive maneuver that
developing countriesoften the hardest hit by hurricanes and
tropical cyclonescan ill afford.
Nicholas Makris, an associate professor in MIT's Department of Ocean
Engineering, thinks there may be another, cheaper, less harrowing
methodone that takes advantage of the fact that sound waves
can propagate useful information for hundreds of miles beneath the
ocean's surface. "This capacity of the ocean as a sonic information
channel has been exploited by scientists for decades and by fish
and marine mammals for millennia," he says.
So it's not surprising that in a conversation about ambient noise
in the ocean with world hurricane expert Kerry Emanuel, professor
of meteorology in MIT's Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary
Sciences, the two discussed the possibility of detecting hurricanes
by measuring sound. That conversation led to their current project,
exploring how hydrophones deployed in the ocean might gather acoustic
data and provide critical information about hurricanes. The project
is supported by MIT Sea Grant and the Office of Naval Research.
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Hurricane
Gert attained a category 4 status in its September 1999 travel
from the coast of Africa to Newfoundland. Photo credit: Ocean
Remote Sensing Group, John Hopkins University Applied Physics
Lab. |
Satellite imaging
technology is a reliable means of detecting and locating hurricanes.
However, even with satellite images, says Makris, assessments of
a hurricane's destructive power are off by at least an order of
magnitude, with scientists crudely estimating wind speeds. Those
estimates lead to critical decisions about evacuating coastal communities.
An unnecessary evacuation can mean millions of dollars in lost revenue;
and the lack of evacuation when a deadly storm strikes means the
loss of lives, in addition to the destruction of property.
However, single hydrophones or acoustic arrays placed strategically
could record the sound associated with high winds and provide accurate
information about a hurricane's power. Makris likens acoustic arrays
to an acoustic eye or radar dish. "It's like a lens or a telescope
that allows you to see in one direction and to discriminate other
directions," he says. "A typical hydrophone array might
be comprised of a line of roughly 128 acoustic sensors separated
at 1/2 the acoustic wavelength. In the 300-Hz range, where wind-wave
noise starts to become dominant in the ocean, the wavelength of
sound is roughly five meters, so acoustic arrays typically span
a couple of hundred meters for this frequency," he explains.
When the aperture is in a horizontal mode, it discriminates the
location horizontally; the same can be done for a vertical orientation.
Makris explains: "When you pluck a guitar string in the middle
it's got a mellower tone than if you pluck it at the ends. It has
to do with the modes of vibration of the guitar string. The ocean's
like a guitar, and depending on where you pluck it, you get different
kinds of modes."
To prepare for recording actual hurricanes, Makris and graduate
student Josh Wilson have developed a model that theyve applied
to areas of the world where hurricanes are a problem, such as in
the Bay of Bengal. The researchers have also begun collecting existing
underwater acoustic data from the U.S. Navys SOSUS underwater
listening stations. These bottom-mounted acoustic arrays were originally
used during the Cold War to find Russian submarines and provide
a record of all the natural and unnatural sounds in the ocean. "We
can track humpback whales vocalizing in Greenland with SOSUS stations
in Bermudafrom one end of the ocean to the other," notes
Makris. "A humpback whale has far less source power than a
hurricane, so if you can track a humpback whale, you should be able
to track a hurricane. We plan to use the data collected from SOSUS
stations to see if we can acoustically track and classify these
hurricanes."
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Satellite
imaging technology provides a robust means of detecting and
locating hurricanes but is less successful at assessing destructive
forces. |
The researchers
also plan to make measurements of their own by deploying an autonomous
underwater vehicle (AUV) during a hurricane in, say, waters off
the west coast of Florida, or in the Yucatan. The AUV would be sent
to the ocean floorout of the hurricane's wayto make
one single-point measurement at various frequencies with the storm
arriving overhead. "No one has ever measured the ambient noise
level versus wind speed beyond about 30 knots in the ocean,"
notes Makris. "It just gets too rough and people stop taking
data or the equipment breaks." He also explains that the intensity
of underwater noise increases with the cube of the wind speed, at
speeds below 30 miles. This suggests that a similar relationship
would exist in hurricane conditions. By separating the hurricane
noise from the general bubbly noise of the ocean, and by discriminating
the direction of the hurricane, Makris hopes to discern the storms
power.
Before heading
too far afield, the researchers look forward to testing an ambient
noise acquisition system in local waters. And those tests suggest
other benefits to the technology. "Getting all these ambient
noise measures as a function of location in the Charles River and
in Boston Harbor will be very valuable," says Makris. The tests,
for instance, could help establish definite correlations between
marine mammal populations and noise pollution in coastal watersa
topic that has been its own maelstrom in recent years.
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