The Future of Russian-US Arms Reductions: START III and Beyond

The Security Studies Program (SSP) is a graduate level research and educational program based at the MIT Center for International Studies. The Program’s primary task is educating the next generation of scholars and practitioners in international security policy making. Its teaching ties are mainly, but not exclusively, with the Political Science Department at MIT. However, the SSP faculty includes natural scientists and engineers as well as social scientists, and the Program is distinguished by its ability to integrate technical and political analyses in studies of international security issues. The SSP faculty, several of whom have had extensive government experience, frequently advise or comment on current policy problems. SSP supports the research work of graduate student, faculty and fellows, and sponsors seminars, conferences and publications to bring its teaching and research results to the attention of wider audiences.

A meeting supported by funding to the MIT Security Studies Program from the W. Alton Jones, MacArthur, Ford, and Carnegie Foundations.

Co-sponsored by the MIT Security Studies Program and
the Center for Arms Control, Energy, and Environmental Studies at the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology.

This report summarizes a joint U.S.-Russia meeting on the future of U.S. Russian nuclear arms reductions held in Cambridge, Mass. from February 2-6, 1998. This report is not a transcript of the meeting, but a summary based on notes taken by rapporteurs at the meeting.

Session 1	Projected Forces With and Without Start II	David Mosher, Paul Podvig	1
Session 2	Projected Forces With and Without Start II	Paul Podvig	4
Session 3	Objectives of Future Reductions	Ted Postol	7
Session 4	Objectives of Future Reductions	Eugene Miasnikov	10
Session 5	Objectives of Future Reductions	Petr Romashkin	13
Session 6	Objectives of Future Reductions	Harold Feiveson	18
Sessions 7, 8	Dismantlement and Irreversibility	Jim Goodby, Roland Lajoie, Anatoli Diakov	22
Session 9	Tactical Nuclear Weapons	Timur Kadyshev	35
Session 10	Tactical Nuclear Weapons	Steve Fetter	37
Session 11	Modifying Operational Practices	Bruce Blair, Frank von Hippel	40
Session 12	Modifying Operational Practices	Valeri Yarynych	43
Sessions 13, 14	Implications of Defenses for Reductions	Lisbeth Gronlund, Paul Podvig	45
Session 15	A Russian Naval Perspective	Aleksey Ovcharenko	48
Session 16	Next Steps		50
Session 17	Next Steps (continued)		52
	Participants		55