Journal articles and reports

Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, "Deal or No Deal? The End of the Cold War and the U.S. Offer to Limit NATO Expansion," International Security, Vol. 40, No. 4 (Spring 2016), pp. 7-44.

Christopher Clary, "Correspondence: Battling over Pakistan's Battlefield Nuclear Weapons," International Security, Vol. 40, No. 4 (Spring 2016).

Alexander Lanoszka (with Michael Allen Hunzeker), "The Efficacy of Landpower: Landpower and American Credibility," Parameters, 45(4) Winter 2015-16.

Reid Pauly, "Bedeviled by a Paradox: Nitze, Bundy, and an Incipient Nuclear Norm," The Nonproliferation Review, Vol. 22, Issue 3-4, 2005. (Published online 6 April 2016.)

Jonathan Caverley (with Ethan B. Kapstein), "Who's Arming Asia?" Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, Vol. 58, No. 2 (April-May 2016), pp. 167-187.

Gautam Mukunda, "Why Donald Trump Might Be the Most Dangerous Presidential Candidate in History," HuffingtonPost, March 2, 2016.

Amanda Rothschild, "ISIS and Genocide: How the United States Talks about Atrocities," Foreign Affairs, February 28, 2016.

Lena Andrews and Julia Macdonald, "Five costs of military innovation,", February 18, 2016.

Kelly M. Greenhill, "Demographic Bombing: People as Weapons in Syria and Beyond," Foreign Affairs, December 17, 2015.

Mark Bell, "Examining Explanations for Nuclear Proliferation," International Studies Quarterly, December 2015.

Fiona S. Cunningham and M. Taylor Fravel, "Assuring Assured Retaliation: China's Nuclear Posture and U.S.-China Strategic Stability," International Security, Vol. 40, No. 2 (Fall 2015).

Amanda J. Rothschild, "The forgotten whistle-blowers who saved Jewish lives," Boston Globe, November 1, 2015.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, "If You Want to Fix Defense Contracting, Mergers Aren't the Problem," The National Interest, October 29, 2015.

Mayumi Fukushima, "Accessing the Diplomatic and Military Archives in Japan," H-Diplo, October 16, 2015.

Carol R. Saivetz, "Russia bets on Assad,", October 18, 2015.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, "The Fading of the Marine Corps,", October 8, 2015.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, review of Providing for a National Security: A Comparative Analysis, Andrew H. Dorman and Joyce P. Kaufman, eds., (Stanford, CA, 2015) in e-International Relations, August 13, 2015.

Nicholas L. Miller, "Debunked: Why 5 Criticisms of the Iran Deal Are Wrong," The National Interest, August 12, 2015.

Julia Macdonald and Jacquelyn Schneider, "Presidential Risk Orientation and Force Employment Decisions: The Case of Unmanned Weaponry," Journal of Conflict Resolution, July 2015.

Francis J. Gavin, "Strategies of Inhibition: U.S. Grand Strategy, the Nuclear Revolution, and Nonproliferation," International Security, Vol. 40, No. 1 (Summer 2015), pp 9-46.

Nicholas Miller (with Or Rabinowitz,) "Keeping the Bombs in the Basement: U.S. Nonproliferation Policy toward Israel, South Africa, and Pakistan,"International Security, Vol. 40, No. 1 (Summer 2015), pp 47-86.

Mark S. Bell, "Beyond Emboldenment: How Acquiring Nuclear Weapons Can Change Foreign Policy," International Security, Vol. 40, No. 1 (Summer 2015), pp. 87-119.

Peter Krause and Craig Noyes, "A Frightening Thought: When Terrorism 'Works'," The National Interest, July 8, 2015.

Amanda J. Rothschild, "Policy Relevant Scholarship: What's Chutzpah Got To Do With It?", July 6, 2015.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, "Acquisition Reform: The Elusive Quest,", July 1, 2015.

M. Taylor Fravel, "China's New Military Strategy: 'Winning Informationized Local Wars," Jamestown Foundation, China Brief Volume: 15 Issue: 13, June 23, 2015.

Barry R. Posen, "Prelude to a Quagmire,", June 16, 2015.

Barry R. Posen, "The Iraqi Army No Longer Exists," Defense One, June 7, 2015.

Francis J. Gavin, "Friends or Frenemies: the puzzling foundations of the Ango-American special relationship," The American Interest, June 1, 2015

Vipin Narang, "Nuclear Strategies of Emerging Nuclear Powers: North Korea and Iran," The Washington Quarterly, May 1, 2015.

Roundtable on Paul Staniland's book, Networks of Rebellion, (Cornell, 2014) including a review by Fotini Christia in H-Diplo/ISSF, May 11, 2015.

Sameer Lalwani, "China's Port to Nowhere," Foreign Affairs, April 8, 2015.

Christopher P. Twomey and M. Taylor Fravel, "Chinese Sources and Chinese Strategy,", February 23, 2015.

Kelly Greenhill, "Nigeria's Countless Casualties: The Politics of Counting Boko Haram's Casualties," Foreign Affairs (February 2015).

Barry R. Posen, "Just Say No: America Should Avoid These Wars," The National Interest, February 10, 2015.

Stephen Van Evera, "U.S. Social Science and International Relations,", February 9, 2015.

Francis J. Gavin, "Breaking Discipline and Closing Gaps-The State of International Relations Education,", February 5, 2015.

Mark S. Bell and Nicholas S. Miller, "Questioning the Effect of Nuclear Weapons on Conflict," Journal of Conflict Resolution, February 2015, vol 59, no. 1, pp. 74-92.

M. Taylor Fravel and Christopher P. Twomey, "Projecting Strategy: The Myth of Chinese Counter-Intervention," The Washington Quarterly, January 26, 2015.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, "4 Pieces of Advice for Ash Carter," The National Interest, January 18, 2015.

William Luers, Thomas Pickering, James Walsh, "An Iran Nuclear Deal Is There for the Taking," The National Interest, October 15, 2014.

Carol Saivetz, "The Price of 'Novorossiya',", September 7, 2014.

Nicholas L. Miller (with Jeremy Ferwerda), "Political Devolution and Resistance to Foreign Rule: A Natural Experiment," American Political Science Review, Vol 108, No. 3 (August 2014) pp. 642-660.

Jeanne Guillemin, "Smallpox: The long goodbye," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July 21, 2014.

Peter Krause (with Ehud Eiran), "The 'price' of radical flanks and the conflict in Gaza," The Washington Post, July 11, 2014.

Francis J. Gavin, "What new academic research can teach us about nuclear weapons," The Washington Post, July 8, 2014.

Christine Leah, "Time for Japan to Get Its Own Nuclear Weapons?" The National Interest, December 3, 2014. Interview and article excerpt.

M. Taylor Fravel, "Policy Report: U.S. Policy Towards the Disputes in the South China Sea Since 1995," S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, March 2014. (pdf)

Philip Martin, "Intervention and the Prospects for Power-Sharing in Iraq," The Duck of Minerva, June 27, 2014.

Christine M. Leah, "A Scary Scenario: Fewer Nukes, Lots of Missiles," The National Interest, June 24, 2014.

Alec Worsnop (with Evan Perkoski), A Closer Look at ISIS in Iraq in Political Violence at a Glance June 17, 2014.

Barry R. Posen, "The Case for Doing Nothing in Iraq,", June 16, 2014.

Francis J. Gavin and Vipin Narang have articles in the June 15, 2014 H-Diplo/ISSF Forum: "What We Talk About When We Talk About Nuclear Weapons."

Gautam Mukunda, "The Price of Wall Street's Power," Harvard Business Review," June 2014.

Richard J. Samuels, "A Question for Asia: Is Japan Back?" The National Interest, May 28, 2014.

Barry R. Posen, "Ukraine: Part of America's 'Vital Interests'?" The National Interest, May 12, 2014.

Christine M. Leah, "U.S. Military Assistance to India: Building Partner Capacity?" Policy Report, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, 2014.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, "Questions to Ask as we Shrink the Defense Industrial Base," The CIP Report, April 2014, pp. 10-11.

Nicholas L. Miller, "Nuclear Dominoes: A Self-Defeating Prophecy?" Security Studies, 23:33–73, 2014.

Peter Krause, "The Structure of Success: How the Internal Distribution of Power Drives Armed Group Behavior and National Movement Effectiveness," International Security, Vol. 38, No. 3 (Winter 2013/2014), 72-116

Harvey Sapolsky, Review of Goldman, Emily O., Power in Uncertain Times: Strategy in the Fog of Peace. H-War, H-Net Reviews. December, 2013.

Cindy Williams, "Accepting Austerity: The Right Way to Cut Defense," Foreign Affairs, November/December 2013.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, "Review: Anatomy of a Bad Idea: COIN Best Practices,", September 24, 2013.

M. Taylor Fravel, "Growing Competition in the South China Sea," in Michael McDevitt, ed., The Long Littoral Project: South China Sea (Washington, DC: Center for Naval Analyses, 2013.

Brian Haggerty, "Debating U.S. Interests in Syria's Civil War," Audits of The Conventional Wisdom, September 16, 2013.

Jeanne Guillemin, "Syria's Red Line," Boston Review, August 29, 2013.

Vipin Narang, "Five Myths about India's Nuclear Posture," The Washington Quarterly, 36:3, Summer 2013, pp. 143-157.

Mark S. Bell and Nicholas L. Miller, "Questioning the Effect of Nuclear Weapons on Conflict," The Journal of Conflict Resolution, 57 (4), August 2013

Joshua Shifrinson, "e-Dossier No. 40 - The Malta Summit and US-Soviet Relations: Testing the Waters Amidst Stormy Seas," Cold War International History Project, Wilson Center, 2013.

Joshua Shifrinson's review of Robert Lieber, Power and Willpower in the American Future: Why the United States is Not Destined to Decline (2012) appears in H-Diplo/ISSF Roundtable Reviews, Vol. V. No. 5 (2013).

William Luers, Thomas R. Pickering, and Jim Walsh, "For a New Approach to Iran," The New York Review of Books, August 15, 2013

Fotini Christia, "How Syrian Woman Are Fueling the Resistance," Foreign Affairs, March 6, 2013.

Lena Simone Andrews, "Attack of the Drones: Ethical, Legal and Strategic Implications of UAV Use," Audits of the Conventional Wisdom, MIT Center for International Studies, February 2013.

Cindy Williams, "Making Defense Affordable," Hamilton Project, Brookings, February 2013. full-length report policy brief

Harvey M. Sapolsky, "Review-The Generals," (review of The Generals, by Thomas E. Ricks), February 11, 2013.

Richard Samuels, "Japan's Shifting Strategic Discourse," George Washington University, Sigur Center for Asian Research Policy Brief, January 2013.

Barry R. Posen, "Pull Back: The Case for a Less Activist Foreign Policy," Foreign Affairs, January/February 2013.

John F. Price, Jr., "Napoleon's Shadow: Facing Organizational Design Challenges in the U.S. Military," Joint Forces Quarterly, January 2013.

John S. Park, "The Leap in North Korea’s Ballistic Missile Program: The Iran Factor," NBR Analysis, December 2012.

Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, "Correspondence: Debating China's Rise and U.S. Decline," (with Michael Beckley), International Security, Vol. 37, No. 3 (Winter 2012/13), pp. 172-181.

Amir Stepak and Rachel Whitlark, "The Battle over America's Foreign Policy Doctrine," Survival, Vol. 54, No. 5, (October/November 2012), pp. 45-56.

Joshua Shifrinson, Review of D'Agostino, Anthony, The Rise of Global Powers: International Politics in the Era of the World Wars. H-Diplo, H-Net Reviews. July, 2012.

Mark S. Bell, "Can Britain Defend the Falklands?" Defence Studies, Vol. 12, No. 2 (June 2012), pp. 283-301.

Christopher Clary and Mara E. Karlin, "The Pak-Saudi Nuke, and How to Stop It," The American Interest, July-August, 2012.

Vipin Narang and Paul Staniland, “Institutions and Worldviews in Indian Foreign Security Policy,” India Review, Vol. 11, No. 2 (2012), pp. 76-94.

Owen Cote, "How will new Submarine Sensors and Payloads Influence Naval Warfare in the 21st Century?", June 4, 2012.

Christopher Clary, "Will India Ever Really Be America's Partner?" Foreign Policy, June 11, 2012.

Christopher Clary, "What Might an India-Pakistan War Look Like?" Précis, Spring 2012.

2010-11 SSP Air Force Fellow, Lt Col John Price, "The Downfall of Adaptive Planning: Finding a New Approach after a Failed Revolution," Air & Space Power Journal, Vol 26, No, 11, March-April 2012.

M. Taylor Fravel, “China’s Strategy in the South China Sea,” Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol. 33, No. 3 (December 2011).

Benjamin Friedman," How Cutting Pentagon Spending Will Fix U.S. Defense Strategy," Foreign Affairs, November 2, 2011.

M. Taylor Fravel, “Economic Growth, Regime Insecurity, and Military Strategy: Explaining the Rise of Non-Combat Operations in China,” Asian Security, Vol. 7, No. 2 (Fall 2011).

Eric Heginbotham, Ely Ratner, and Richard J. Samuels, "How Japan is Changing—and What It Means for the United States," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 90, No 5, September-October 2011.

Sameer Lalwani and Joshua Shifrinson, "Whither Command of the Commons: Choosing Security Over Control," New America, September 13, 2011.

On August 2, President Obama signed the Budget Control Act of 2011. SSP’s Cindy Williams has prepared a presentation on how the new law could affect future budgets for national defense. click here to read the presentation (pdf)

Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson and Miranda Priebe, "A Crude Threat: The Limits of an Iranian Missile Campaign against Saudi Arabian Oil," International Security, Vol. 36, Nol. 1 (Summer 2011), pp. 167-201.

Michael D. Swaine and M. Taylor Fravel, “China's Assertive Behavior—Part Two: The Maritime Periphery,” China Leadership Monitor, no. 35 (Summer 2011).

LtCol Thomas J. Gordon and Capt. Marshall Hand, "The Black Sea Rotational Force," Marine Corps Gazette, February 2011, pp. 59-63.

M. Taylor Fravel, "International Relations Theory and China's Rise: Assessing China's Potential for Territorial Expansion," International Studies Review, Vol. 12, No. 4, December 2010, pp. 505-532.

M. Taylor Fravel, “China’s Search for Assured Retaliation: Explaining the Evolution of China’s Nuclear Strategy,” International Security, Vol. 35, No 2 (Fall 2010), pp.48-87 (with Evan S. Medeiros).

Michael A. Glosny, Robert S. Ross, "Correspondence: Debating China's Naval Nationalism," International Security, Vol. 35, No 2 (Fall 2010, pp. 161-175 (with Phillip C. Saunders).

Robert J. Art, "The United States and the Rise of China: Implications for the Long Haul," Political Science Quarterly, Vol, 125, No. 3, 2010, pp. 359-391.

Tara Maller, "Diplomacy Derailed: The Consequences of Diplomatic Sanctions," The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 33, No. 3 (July 2010) pp. 61-79.

Barry R. Posen, "Overkill," (part of "The Containment Conundrum: How Dangerous is a Nuclear Iran?") Foreign Affairs, July/August 2010, pp. 160-163.

Fotini Christia (with Stephen Biddle and J. Alexander Thier), "Defining Success in Afghanistan: What Can the United States Accept?" Foreign Affairs, July/August 2010, pp. 48-60.

Nathan Black, "Change We Can Fight Over: The Relationship between Arable Land Supply and Substate Conflict," Strategic Insights, Vol. 9, No. 1, Spring/Summer 2010, pp. 31-64.

Richard J. Samuels (with Robert Madsen) "Japan, LLP," The National Interest, May-June 2010.

M. Taylor Fravel, "The Limits of Diversion: Rethinking Internal and External Conflict," Security Studies, Vol. 19, No. 2 (May 2010), pp. 307-341

Gautam Mukunda, "We Cannot Go On: Disruptive Innovation and the First World War Royal Navy," Security Studies, Vol. 19, No 1 (January 2010) pp 124-159.

Sameer Lalwani, "The Pakistan Military's Adaptation to Counterinsurgency in 2009," in CTC Sentinal, Vol. 3, No. 1 (January 2010) pp. 9-13.

Gautam Mukunda (with Rachel Wellhausen), "Aspects of the Political Economy of Development and Synthetic Biology," Systems and Synthetic Biology, December 2009.

Barry R. Posen, "Emerging Multipolarity: Why Should We Care?" Current History (November 2009) pp. 347-352

Paul Staniland, "Counterinsurgency is a bloody, costly business,", November 24, 2009.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, Benjamin H. Friedman, Eugene Gholz, and Daryl G. Press, "Restraining Order: For Strategic Modesty," World Affairs, Fall 2009, pp. 84-94.

Peter Krause and Stephen Van Evera, "Public Diplomacy: Ideas for the War of Ideas," Middle East Policy, Vol. XVI, No. 3, Fall 2009, pp. 106-134.

Sameer Lalwani, "Pakistani Capabilities for a Counterinsurgency Campaign: A Net Assessment," New America Foundation, September 2009.

Richard J. Samuels, "Change Comes to Japan: how the LDP hung on so long," Newsweek, August 15, 2009.

Fotini Christia and Michael Semple, "Flipping the Taliban: How to Win in Afghanistan," Foreign Affairs, (Vol. 4, No. 88) July/August 2009.

Bjoern Seibert, "The case against the A400M," Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) Briefing Note, June 2009.

William Norris, "Thinking Clearly About China's Economic Statecraft," Précis, Spring 2009.

Richard J. Samuels, "Japan's Lost Leaders," Newsweek, April 20, 2009.

Richard J. Samuels, "Wing Walking: The US-Japan Alliance," Global Asia, Vol. 4, No. 1 (2009), pp. 16-21.

Bjoern H. Seibert, "When great powers compete, the pirates win," Foreign Policy, March 30, 2009.

Harvey M. Sapolsky, "Advice for the SecDef (or, What You Won't Hear at a Brookings Seminar)" US Naval Institute Proceedings, (January, 2009).

Numerous SSP faculty, research affiliates, and graduate students contributed articles to CIS' publication Advice to President Obama (January 2009). Click here for PDF.

Paul Staniland, "Improving India's Counterterrorism Policy after Mumbai," CTC Sentinel, Combating Terrorism Center at West Point, Vol. 2, No. 4 (April 2009), pp. 11-14.

Paul Staniland, "Correspondence: What Makes Terrorists Tick," International Security, Vol. 33, No. 4 (Spring 2009), pp. 180-202.

Peter Krause, "The Last Good Chance: A Reassessment of U.S. Operations at Tora Bora," Security Studies, Vol. 17, No. 4 (October 2008) pp. 644-684.

Caitlin Talmadge, "Closing Time: Assessing the Iranian Threat to the Strait of Hormuz," International Security, Vol. 33, No. 1, pp. 82-117 (Summer 2008).

Paul Staniland, "Explaining Civil-Military Relations in Complex Political Environments: India and Pakistan in Comparative Perspective," Security Studies, Vol. 17, No. 2: 322-362.

Austin Long, "Doctrine of Eternal Recurrence: The U.S. Military and Counterinsurgency Doctrine, 1960-1970 and 2003-2006," RAND Occasional Paper, 2008.

M. Taylor Fravel, "China's Search for Military Power," The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 33, No. 3 (Summer 2008).

Barry R. Posen, “Restraining Order,” The American Interest , Vol. 3, No. 3, January-February 2008, pp. 94-97.

Benjamin H. Friedman, Harvey Sapolsky and Christopher Preble, "Learning the Right Lessons from Iraq," Policy Analysis no. 610, Cato Institute, February 13, 2008.

Cindy Williams has an article in The American Interest, Vol. III, No. 4 (March/April 2008), part of a collection of articles called "Iraq: What If We Win?" Her article, titled "The U.S. Army," is available at their web site. Click here to read the article.

Cindy Williams has a new report available from the IBM Center for the Business of Government, part of their 2008 Presidential Transition Series. The report is titled "Strengthening Homeland Security: Reforming Planning and Resource Allocation." The report can be dowloaded from their web site as a pdf, or ordered in hardcopy.

Juan Cole, "Iraq's Three Civil Wars," Audits of the Conventional Wisdom, MIT Center for International Studies, February 2008.

Paul Staniland, "The Challenge of Islamist Militancy in India," CTC Sentinal, Vol. 1, No. 2, January 2008, pp. 14-16.

M. Taylor Fravel, "Power Shifts and Escalation: Explaining China's Use of Force in Territorial Disputes," International Security, Vol. 32, No. 3 (Winter 2007/08), pp. 44-83.

Richard J. Samuels, "New Fighting Power! Japan's Growing Maritime Capabilities and East Asian Security, " International Security, Vol. 32, No. 3 (Winter 2007/08), pp. 84-112.

Benjamin H. Friedman, "The Terrible 'Ifs'," Regulation, Vol. 30, No. 4, Winter 2007-2008, pp. 32-40.

Kelly Greenhill and Paul Staniland, "Ten Ways to Lose at Counterinsurgency," Civil Wars , Vol. 9, No. 4 (December 2007), pp. 402-419.

David Weinberg has published an article on Congress and the Iraqi refugee crisis in Denver University's Human Rights & Human Welfare, October 2007.

Barry R. Posen, “Stability and Change in U.S. Grand Strategy,” Orbis, Vol. 51, No. 4, October 2007, pp. 561-567.

Paul Staniland, "Pakistan on the Brink: Regional Perspectives and Implications", Audits of the Conventional Wisdom, MIT Center for International Studies, November 2007.

Barry R. Posen, " The Case for Restraint," The American Interest, Vol. 3, No. 1, November-December 2007.

Paul Staniland is the author of a new CIS Persian Gulf Initiative workshop report entitled "The United States, India, and the Gulf: Convergence or Divergence in a Post-Iraq World."

P.R. Goldstone, "Pax Mercatoria: Does Economic Interdependence Bring Peace?" Audits of the Conventional Wisdom, CIS, August 2007.

M. Taylor Fravel, "Securing Borders: China's Doctrine and Force Structure for Frontier Defense," Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 30, No. 4-5, August 2007.

"Fewer Missions, Not More Troops," Benjamin Friedman, Audits of the Conventional Wisdom, CIS, July 2007.

M. Taylor Fravel, "Securing Borders: China's Doctrine and Force Structure for Frontier Defense," Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 30, No. 4-5, August 2007.

Professor Stephen Van Evera, "The War on Terror: Forgotten Lessons from WWII," Middle East Policy (Vol. XIV, No. 2, Summer 2007).

Professor Stephen Van Evera, "Iraq: Canary in a Coal Mine ," MIT International Review, Spring 2007.