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Many people now believe that nuclear proliferation has become easier for states of concern, that intelligence regarding such proliferation will be absent or inadequate, and that further preventive “WMD wars” beyond the one now being prosecuted in Iraq will likely be necessary. How real are the sources of pessimism regarding the proliferation of nuclear weapons? Need they be enduring, or instead are they the result of a self-fulfilling prophecy in which the belief in inevitability leads to a neglect of new approaches that might shore up the existing regime?
This research project is managed by Owen Cote, a Principal Research Scientist in the MIT Security Studies Program.