The 1982 George Forsythe Memorial Lectures by Jerome H. Saltzer Stanford University Computer Science Department Lecture #1, Monday, January 25, 1982, at 7:30 p.m., in Jordan 040 Intended audience: General scientific audience with computer interest. Title: TECHNOLOGY, BUREAUCRACY AVOIDANCE, AND DISTRIBUTED COMPUTER SYSTEMS Abstract: An obvious force behind "distributed" computer systems is the plummeting cost of processor logic and memory, driven by advances in integrated circuit technology. A less obvious force is bureaucracy avoidance, in reaction to experience with centrally administered multi-user computer systems. Understanding the interactions between technology and bureaucracy avoidance allows one to predict the direction that computer system architecture will probably take over the next decade, and to guess which of the currently emerging approaches to distributed computing are likely to survive.