Progress Log
Minutes for Nov. 5, 2003
Team Meeting
11/5/03
Present: all
Model: What figures/quantities we need to compute the
costs and benefits for oil corporations and society (see 11/4/03 minutes)…
Oil Corporations:
1. Exploration:
-trend for world oil market
-seismic testing
-size of area
2. Transportation:
-cost of pipeline (materials)
-cost of maintaining pipeline
-roads (materials)
-shipping costs
3. Production:
-how many wells
-depth of well
-type of well
-type of machinery
-amount of (extractable) oil in the well
-replacement due to wear and tear
4. Wages:
-no. of jobs
-wage rate for each type of worker
-#hours/ week
-import of workers ?
5. Oil Spill Clean-up:
-how frequently
-cost of cleaning:
-how many
people
-how bad the
spill (area)
6. Building infrastructure: (more of a cost to society ?)
-hospitals
-schools
-houses
-supplies- import
-entertainment, building a “city”
7. Refining
-how much oil
-cost of transporting it to refineries
8. Revenue from Oil:
-how much oil is extracted
-current price:
-trend
-probability of
conflicts/disruptions globally
-time lag (7-8 years)
-demand curve and supply curve: equilibrium price
Society:
1. Environmental:
-no. and type of wildlife affected
-degree to which they are affected
-pollution
2. Risk of Oil spills:
-how often
-clean-up costs
-cost of damage (impact of what is left- pollution)
3. Disruption to culture:
-% of people who’s lives are altered
-value for degree of alteration
4. Jobs:
-no. of jobs
-wage rate
-who gets the jobs: unemployed or move from another job?
5. Access to Infrastructure:
-price decrease in gas due to easier transportation to the area
-greater access to goods due to easier transportation to the area
-increase in no. of schools,
hospitals, etc. (inc. in no. of people educated, decrease in teacher:student
ratio)
Notes:
-spoke to team 4: will give us a relative ranking of
environmental impact .. no numbers
-look up papers on what happened in Pudhoe Bay
(estimates)
Team Meeting
with Alumni Mentors (11/5/03):
-Is oil profitable in ANWR? Look up do big corporations
want to drill or is it only small Canadian companies (team 8)
-environmental cost= cost of replacement (team 4)
-one way, not best, but we don’t have a best
-cost of dismantling the oil production equipment- do we
need additional equipment to dismantle? (team e)
-explain assumptions
-disruption to culture (ask team 10)
-email teams saying what we are going to need from them
for model
-ask teams for sources
-team 4 will be very, very general email for specifics
-for environmental impact:
-ask an environmental economist
on faculty
-EPA, environmental agencies
-ask teams 5 and 6 for which animals/wildlife affected
-use ‘currency’ – per capita/ per caribou
-simplify the research and state what we considered and
what we deemed was of too little and impact to include
-assumption:
-price of oil set by supply and
demand: ANWR not much of an impact on supply (esp. over 20 year time period)
therefore no decrease in price
-no alternative sources of fuel
considered: corporations have no positive impact on alternactive fuel research
-no political impact
-look at stuff that matters largely, not small things
-factors involved in drilling:
-environmental (team 4, 5, 6)
-sociological
-no. of jobs (team 10, 8, e)
-culture (team 10)
-oil revenue: net
-quantity (team 1)
-mgf. costs (team e)
-price of oil (team 8)
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