24.810: Topics in the Philosophy of Science---Causation, Explanation, Confirmation.

Fall 2008

Instructor: Brad Skow (follow link for contact information).

Mettings: Th 2-5, room 32-D461 (note room change).

Course Description: The plan is to cover the background on the three topics, and also touch on recent research.

Note on prerequisites: this course is for philosophy graduate students. Anyone else must obtain special permission to enroll.

Student Presentations: Students are encouraged but not required to give an in-class presentation.

Final Papers: Students must submit a draft of their term paper by the end of the semester. Also, please proofread the final draft of your paper for grammatical and typographical errors carefully.

Readings: Either linked below or available on the stellar site.

Visitors: Ned Hall and LA Paul, November 7th.


Schedule.

Note: this is tentative and subject to multiple revisions before labor day.

Part I: Causation.

Recommended Background Reading.

Field, Causation in a Physical World.
Schaffer, The Metaphysics of Causation.

Sept. 4: Introduction; Counterfactual Analyses---the old school.

Lewis, Causation; Postscript.
Schaffer, Trumping Preemption.
Lewis, Causation as Influence.

Teatime, Sept. 4:

Sept. 11: Inspiration from Physics and Biology.

Maudlin, Causation, Counterfactuals, and the Third Factor.
Sober, Apportioning Causal Responsibility.

Sept 18: Structural Equations---the New Hotness.

Hitchcock, The Intransitivity of Causation Revealed in Equations and Graphs.
Hall, Structural Equations and Causation.

Sept 25: Causation and the Sciences of Complex Systems.

Elga, Isolation and Folk Physics.
Strevens, "How are the Sciences of Complex Systems Possible?"

Oct 2: Obligatory Frank Arntzenius Session.

Arntzenius, Reichenbach's Common Cause Principle.
Sober, Temporally Oriented Laws.

Part II: Explanation.

Oct 9: From the D-N model to the Causal Theory.

Salmon, Four Decades of Scientific Explanation, excerpt.
Lewis, Causal Explanation.

Oct 16: Non-Causal Explanations?

Batterman, Explanatory Instability.
Sober, Equilibrium Explanation.

Oct 23: Non-Causal Explanations?

Lange, Dimensional Explanation.

Part III: Confirmation.

Oct 30: Background; Bayesian Confirmation Theory.

Hajek, Confirmation.
Strevens, Notes on Bayesian Confirmation Theory, chapters 6 (except 6.3), 7, 8.

Nov 7 (Friday!): Paul and Hall on Causation.

Nov 13: Susanna on The Problem of Old Evidence; Is Bayesianism too subjective?

Strevens, sections 8.3, 9, and 11.

Nov 20: Brian on prediction and accomodation; Greco on confirmational holism.

Collins, "Against the Epistemic Value of Prediction over Accomodation."
White, "The Epistemic Value of Prediction over Accomodation."
Christensen, "Confirmational Holism and Bayesian Epistemology."

Dec 4: Bootstrapping.

Glymour, "Bootstrapping and Relevant Evidence."
Christensen, "Glymour on Evidential Relevance."
Van Fraassen, "The Perils of Perrin."



Brad Skow | MIT