Structuring Conflict History for CASCON Analysis
CASCON provides a systematic approach to gathering, storing, and
organizing information about a conflict situation in a structure suited to historical
analogizing. There are three steps. To see a more complete explanation of each step
in the process, follow the links below.
Step 1. Case Detail. The first
step in approaching a new case is to identify the parties, the locale, the issues in
dispute, and the dates that mark the thresholds between phases. All of these items are
shown on the Case Detail window in the computer.
Step 2. Case Precis. Having framed
the case, the next step is to write a short history, or precis, summarizing the major
features of the case organized by Phase. The case precis is shown in the Precis window in
Step 3. Factor coding. Next review
and "code" the factors in each phase. CASCON factors describe
circumstances and events that have been influential in historical cases. Determine
whether each factor is present or not present in the new case. If present, decide
what influence the factor has in the case, whether toward or away from increased violence
and to what degree. Factor codings are shown in the Factors window in the computer.
To get an idea of how to prepare a new case, it is often helpful to browse
through the historical cases in CASCON's database looking at Case Detail, Precis, and
Copyright © 1999 Lincoln P. Bloomfield and Allen