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Refereed Journal Publications
"Media Measurement Matters: Estimating the Persuasive Effects of Partisan Media with Survey and Behavioral Data" (2023+), Journal of Politics, forthcoming (with Chloe Wittenberg, Matthew Baum, Adam Berinsky, and Justin de Benedictis-Kessner). [Paper]
"Using Conjoint Experiments to Analyze Election Outcomes: The Essential Role of the Average Marginal Component Effect (AMCE)" (2023+), Political Analysis, forthcoming (with Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller and Dan Hopkins). [Paper]
"Tracing Causal Paths from Experimental and Observational Data" (2023), Journal of Politics, 85(1), 250-265 (with Xiang Zhou). [Paper] [Companion Software]
"Does Conjoint Analysis Mitigate Social Desirability Bias?" (2022), Political Analysis, 30(4), 535-549 (with Yusaku Horiuchi and Zach Markovich). [Paper]
"Publication Biases in Replication Studies" (2021), Political Analysis, 29(3), 370-384 (with Adam Berinsky and Jamie Druckman). [Paper] [Replication Files]
"Beyond the Breaking Point? Survey Satisficing in Conjoint Experiments" (2021), Political Science Research and Methods, 9(1), 53-71 (with Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller and Daniel J. Hopkins). [Paper] [Replication Files]
"Identifying Voter Preferences for Politicians' Personal Attributes: A Conjoint Experiment in Japan" (2020), Political Science Research and Methods, 8(1), 75-91 (with Yusaku Horiuchi and Daniel M. Smith). [Paper] [Replication Files]
"Persuading the Enemy: Estimating the Persuasive Effects of Partisan Media with the Preference-Incorporating Choice and Assignment Design" (2019), American Political Science Review, 113(4), 902-916 (with Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Matthew Baum and Adam Berinsky). [Paper] [Appendix]
"Design, Identification, and Sensitivity Analysis for Patient Preference Trials" (2019), Journal of the American Statistical Association, 114(528), 1532-1546 (with Dean Knox, Matthew Baum and Adam Berinsky). [Paper] [Supplementary Materials (incl. Replication Files)] [Companion Software]
"Measuring Voters' Multidimensional Policy Preferences with Conjoint Analysis: Application to Japan's 2014 Election" (2018), Political Analysis, 26(2), 190-209 (with Yusaku Horiuchi and Daniel M. Smith). [Paper] [Supplementary Materials] [Replication Files]
"The Number of Choice Tasks and Survey Satisficing in Conjoint Experiments" (2018), Political Analysis, 26(1), 112-119 (with Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller and Daniel J. Hopkins). [Paper] [Supplementary Materials] [Replication Files]
"Validating Vignette and Conjoint Survey Experiments against Real-World Behavior" (2015), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(8), 2395-2400 (with Jens Hainmueller and Dominik Hangartner). [Paper] [Supporting Information]
"Identifying Mechanisms behind Policy Interventions via Causal Mediation Analysis" (2015), Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 34(4), 937-963 (with Luke Keele and Dustin Tingley). [Paper] [Companion Software]
"Causal Inference in Conjoint Analysis: Understanding Multi-Dimensional Choices via Stated Preference Experiments" (2014), Political Analysis, 22(1), 1-30 (with Jens Hainmueller and Dan Hopkins). Lead article. Winner of the Warren Miller Prize and Editors' Choice award. [Paper] [Replication Files] [Sample Scripts] [Companion Software 1] [Companion Software 2]
"mediation: R Package for Causal Mediation Analysis" (2014), Journal of Statistical Software, 59(5), 1--38 (with Dustin Tingley, Kentaro Hirose, Luke Keele and Kosuke Imai). [Paper] [Software]
"Identification and Sensitivity Analysis for Multiple Causal Mechanisms: Revisiting Evidence from Framing Experiments" (2013), Political Analysis, 21(2), 141-171 (with Kosuke Imai). Lead article. [Paper] [Replication Files] [Companion Software]
"Experimental Designs for Identifying Causal Mechanisms" (2013), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 176(1), 5--51 (with Kosuke Imai and Dustin Tingley). Lead article with discussions. Read before the Royal Statistical Society in 2012. [Paper] [Replication Files] [Companion Software]
"Understanding the Past: Statistical Analysis of Causal Attribution" (2012), American Journal of Political Science, 56(1), 237-256. [Paper] [Replication Files]
"Unpacking the Black Box of Causality: Learning about Causal Mechanisms from Experimental and Observational Studies" (2011), American Political Science Review, 105(4), 765-789 (with Kosuke Imai, Luke Keele and Dustin Tingley). [Paper] [Replication Files] [Companion Software]
"Causal Inference with Differential Measurement Error: Nonparametric Identification and Sensitivity Analysis" (2010), American Journal of Political Science, 54(2), 543-560 (with Kosuke Imai). [Paper] [Replication Files]
"Identification, Inference, and Sensitivity Analysis for Causal Mediation Effects" (2010), Statistical Science, 25(1), 51-71 (with Kosuke Imai and Luke Keele). [Paper] [Replication Files] [Companion Software]
Invited Contributions and Book Chapters
"Conjoint Survey Experiments" (2021) in Advances in Experimental Political Science by James Druckman and Donald P. Green, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 19-41 (with Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller and Dan Hopkins). [Chapter]
"Commentary: Practical Implications of Theoretical Results for Causal Mediation Analysis" (2014), Psychological Methods, 19(4), 482-487 (with Kosuke Imai, Luke Keele and Dustin Tingley). [Paper]
"Reply to Discussions of 'Experimental Designs for Identifying Causal Mechanisms'" (2013), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 176(1), 46-49 (with Kosuke Imai and Dustin Tingley). [Paper]
"Causal Mediation Analysis Using R" (2010) in Advances in Social Science Research Using R by H.D. Vinod (ed.), New York: Springer, pp.129-154 (with Kosuke Imai, Luke Keele and Dustin Tingley). [Paper] [Companion Software]
Software
"paths: An Imputation Approach to Estimating Path-Specific Causal Effects" (with Minh Trinh and Xiang Zhou). [CRAN]
"ppt: Bounds and Sensitivity Analysis for Patient Preference Trials" (with Dean Knox). [GitHub (beta)]
"cjoint: AMCE Estimator for Conjoint Experiments" (with Anton Strezhnev, Elissa Berwick, Jens Hainmueller and Dan Hopkins). [CRAN]
"Conjoint Survey Design Tool" (with Anton Strezhnev, Jens Hainmueller and Dan Hopkins). [Download]
"mediation: R Package for Causal Mediation Analysis" (with Luke Keele, Dustin Tingley and Kosuke Imai). Winner of the Statistical Software Award. [CRAN]