Category D: Actions in disputed area
Phase 3 Factors
| 3D-01 | "Status quo" side lacks anticipated support in disputed area |
| 3D-02 | "Non-status quo" side lacks anticipated support in disputed area |
| 3D-03 | "Status quo" side misinterprets nature of events in disputed area |
| 3D-04 | Supporters of "status quo" side in disputed area begin to turn against it |
| 3D-05 | Both sides worry about effects of military activity on hostile ethnic groups in disputed area |
| 3D-06 | UN focuses world attention on developments in disputed area |
| 3D-07 | Both sides agree to let the UN ascertain the wishes of population in disputed area |
| 3D-08 | International organization body is slow in reaching disputed area |
| 3D-09 | Moderating third-party forces in disputed area begin to phase out |
| 3D-10 | Troops of interested parties present in disputed area form a peacekeeping force |
| 3D-11 | One side warns that any offensive action in disputed area will result in wider war |
| 3D-12 | Dangers of all-out war increase when hostilities spill out of disputed area |
| 3D-13 | Geography of disputed area makes it difficult to prevent one side from reinforcing |
| 3D-14 | Practical geographical limits in disputed area make extended operations difficult |
| 3D-15 | One side has a sanctuary in terrain difficult for other to reach |
| 3D-16 | Geographic isolation of disputed area keeps "non-status quo" side activity at relatively low level |
| 3D-17 | Nature/location of "non-status quo" side's attack weakens its claim to be supporting groups in disputed area |
| 3D-18 | Each side labels other the aggressor and sees its own actions as defensive |
| 3D-19 | Important interests of one side in disputed area threatened by other side's actions |
| 3D-20 | There is united opposition to "non-status quo" side's action |
| 3D-21 | One side's administration near disputed area is unable to prevent military activity |
| 3D-22 | One side claims proof of the other's complicity in military activity in disputed area |
| 3D-23 | Raids by one side into disputed area do not cause significant damage or provoke local unrest |
| 3D-24 | Forces of one side sufficient to control raiding groups in disputed area |
Copyright © 1999 Lincoln P. Bloomfield and Allen Moulton