3P-01 |
"Non-status quo" side's military and territorial
objectives appear limited |
3P-02 |
"Non-status quo" side's military and territorial
objectives do not appear to be limited |
3P-03 |
Opposition in one side increases as violence escalates |
3P-04 |
Domestic public opinion comes to favor "status
quo" side |
3P-05 |
Domestic public opinion comes to favor "non-status
quo" side |
3P-06 |
Public opinion in one side rallies against the other side |
3P-07 |
Heavy domestic pressure is generated in one side to cease
hostilities |
3P-08 |
Public opinion in "status quo" side favors a
negotiated settlement |
3P-09 |
Internal unrest likely to be triggered by continued
hostilities |
3P-10 |
Internal unrest unlikely to be triggered by continued
hostilities |
3P-11 |
"Status quo" side counters violence by arrests and
strong reprisals |
3P-12 |
"Non-status quo" side wins political concessions |
3P-13 |
At times extremist political groups in both sides gain
control over policy |
3P-14 |
"Non-status quo" side denies any connection with
the hostilities |
3P-15 |
"Non-status quo" side creates a rival government |
3P-16 |
One side dramatizes its position by an international
incident |
3P-17 |
One side feels responsible for the fate of its proxy forces |
3P-18 |
Some military officers on one side believe a military
solution is possible |
3P-19 |
Opposition within "status quo" side reaches high
into the military |
3P-20 |
One side's prime role in the military action is widely
assumed despite attempts to keep it covert |
3P-21 |
Splits occur in the leadership of one side |
3P-22 |
Splits within one side become open rifts |
3P-23 |
Unity of one side is reinforced as members take action
against suspected traitors |
3P-24 |
A coalition is emerging within one side in opposition to
party in power |
3P-25 |
One side is ideologically committed to prolonging the fight |
3P-26 |
Ideological split exists among "non-status quo"
side's supporters |
3P-27 |
Ideological split exists among "status quo" side's
supporters |
3P-28 |
One side seeks to isolate the other side from its base of
support |
3P-29 |
Prolongation of hostilities erodes resources of one side |
3P-30 |
One side is over-confident in seeking military solution |
3P-31 |
"Non-status quo" side resorts to guerrilla war |
3P-32 |
Initial objective of one side conceived as being limited and
for humanitarian reasons |
3P-33 |
"Non-status quo" side's hope for political gains
is not fulfilled |
3P-34 |
"Non-status quo" side not prepared to act
independently |