Selected Publications (in PDF format):

Sustainable Decarbonization of Aviation in Latin America, MIT Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Special Report, 2024.

The role of fusion energy in a decarbonized electricity system. MIT Energy Initiative, 2024.

Insights into Future Mobility, MIT Energy Initiative, 2019.

Paltsev, S., 2016, "The Complicated Geopolitics of Renewable Energy," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 72(6), 390-395.

Zhang, D. and S. Paltsev, 2016, "The Future of Natural Gas in China: Effects of Pricing Reform and Climate Policy," Climate Change Economics, 7 (4), 1650012, 1-32.

"Natural gas pricing reform in China: Getting closer to a market system?" MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2015, Report 282, Cambridge, MA (with D. Zhang).

"Natural Gas Monetization Pathways for Cyprus: Interim Report - Economics of Project Development Options," 2013, MIT Energy Initiative, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA (with F. O'Sullivan, N. Lee, A. Agarwal, M. Li, X. Li, N. Fylaktos).

"Combining a Renewable Portfolio Standard with a Cap-and-Trade Policy: A General Equilibrium Analysis," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2010, Report 187, Cambridge, MA (with J. Morris and J. Reilly).

"Commercial Viability of Second Generation Biofuel Technology," in The Biofuels Market: Current Situation and Alternative Scenarios, 2009, S. Zarrilli (ed.), United Nations: Geneva and New York, p. 29-50 (with J. Reilly and A. Gurgel).

"The Influence on Climate Change of Differing Scenarios for Future Development Analyzed Using the MIT Integrated Global System Model," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008, Report 163, Cambridge, MA (with R. Prinn, A. Sokolov, M. Sarofim, J. Reilly, and H. Jacoby).
(also appears in Climatic Change, 2011, 104(3-4), p. 515-537).

"A Forward Looking Version of the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008, Report 161, Cambridge, MA (with M. Babiker, A. Gurgel, and J. Reilly).
(also appears in Economic Modelling, 2009, 26(6), p. 1341-1354).

"Analysis of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Tax Proposals," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008, Report 160, Cambridge, MA (with G. Metcalf, J. Reilly, H. Jacoby, and J. Holak).

"Analysis of the Coal Sector Under Carbon Constraints," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008, Report 158, Cambridge, MA (with J. McFarland and H. Jacoby).
(also appears in Journal of Policy Modeling, 2009, 31(3), p. 404-424).

"Potential Land Use Implications of a Global Biofuels Industry," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008, Report 155, Cambridge, MA (with A. Gurgel and J. Reilly).
(also appears in Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organization, 2007, 5(2), Article 9, p. 1-34).

"Modeling the Prospects for Hydrogen Powered Transportation Through 2100," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008, Report 154, Cambridge, MA (with R. Sandoval, V. Karplus, and J. Reilly).
(also appears in Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 2009, 43(3), p. 291-316).

"Energy Scenarios for East Asia: 2005-2025," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007, Report 152, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly).
(also appears in From Growth to Convergence: Asia's Next Two Decades, F. Zhai (ed.), Palgrave Macmillan, 2009, p. 211-239).

"U.S. Greenhouse Gas Cap-and-Trade Proposals: Application of a Forward-Looking Computable General Equilibrium Model," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007, Report 150, Cambridge, MA (with A. Gurgel, J. Reilly, and G. Metcalf).
(also appears in Environment and Development Economics, 2011, 16(2), p. 155-176).

"Global Economic Effects of Changes in Crops, Pasture, and Forests due to Changing Climate, Carbon Dioxide, and Ozone," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007, Report 149, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly, B. Felzer, X. Wang, D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim, A. Sokolov, and C. Wang).
(also appears in Energy Policy, 2007, 35(11), p. 5370-5383).

"Assessment of U.S. Cap-and-Trade Proposals," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007, Report 146, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly, H. Jacoby, A. Gurgel, G. Metcalf, A. Sokolov, and J. Holak).
(a short version also appears in Climate Policy, 2008, 8(4), p. 395-420).

"Biomass Energy and Competition for Land," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007, Report 145, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly).
(also appears in Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy, T. Hertel, S. Rose, R. Tol (eds.), Routledge, 2009, p. 184-207).

"Heavier Crude, Changing Demand for Petroleum Fuels, Regional Climate Policy, and the Location of Upgrading Capacity: A Preliminary Look," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007, Report 144, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly and F. Choumert).

"The Value of Emissions Trading," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2006, Report 132, Cambridge, MA (with M. Webster and J. Reilly).
(also appears in Energy Policy, 2010, 38(4), p. 1787-1796).

"Improving the Refining Sector in EPPA," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2006, Technical Note 9, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly and F. Choumert).

"Historical Anthropogenic Emissions Inventories for Greenhouse Gases and Major Criteria Pollutants," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2006, Technical Note 8, Cambridge, MA (with M. Asadoorian, M. Sarofim, J. Reilly, and C. Forest).

"Incorporating Climate Change Feedbacks into a General Economic Equilibrium Model," Proceeding of the GTAP Conference on Global Economic Analysis, 2006, GTAP and United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia (with J. Reilly).

"An Analysis of the European Emission Trading Scheme," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2005, Report 127, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly).
(also appears in Economic Modeling of Climate Change and Energy Policies, M. De Miguel, X. Labandeira, B. Manzano (eds.), 2006, Edward Elgar Publishing, p. 45-64).

"The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Version 4," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2005, Report 125, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly, H. Jacoby, R. Eckaus, J. McFarland, M. Sarofim, M. Asadoorian, and M. Babiker).

"The MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) Version 2: Model Description and Baseline Evaluation," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2005, Report 124, Cambridge, MA (with A. Sokolov, A. Schlosser, S. Dutkiewicz, D. Kicklighter, H. Jacoby, R. Prinn, C. Forest, J. Reilly, C. Wang, B. Felzer, M. Sarofim, J. Scott, P. Stone, J. Melillo, and J. Cohen).

"Climate Change Taxes and Energy Efficiency in Japan," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2005, Report 121, Cambridge, MA (with S. Kasahara, J. Reilly, H. Jacoby, and A.D. Ellerman).
(also appears in Environmental and Resource Economics, 2007, 37(2), p. 377-410).

"Modeling the Transport Sector: The Role of Existing Fuel Taxes in Climate Policy," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004, Report 117, Cambridge, MA (with H.Jacoby, J. Reilly, L. Viguier, and M. Babiker).
(also appears in Energy and Environment, R. Loulou, J.-P. Waaub, G. Zaccour (eds.), 2005, Springer, p. 211-238).

"Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in the Former USSR: Social Transfers in the Kyrgyz Republic," World Development, 2004, 32(11), pp. 1849-1870 (with C.M.Becker).

"The Role of Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases in Climate Policy: Analysis Using the MIT IGSM," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004, Report 114, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly, M. Sarofim, and R. Prinn).
(also appears in Energy Journal, 2006, Special Issue on Multigas Mitigation and Climate Policy, p. 503-520).

"Economic Benefits of Air Pollution Regulation in the USA: An Integrated Approach," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004, Report 113, Cambridge, MA (with T. Yang, K. Matus, and J. Reilly).
(also appears in The Coupling of Climate and Economic Dynamics, A.Haurie and L.Viguier (eds.), 2005, Springer, p. 267-294;
an expanded version appears in Climatic Change, 2008, 88(1), p. 59-92).

"The Cost of Kyoto Protocol Targets: The Case of Japan," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004, Report 112, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly, H. Jacoby, and K.H. Tay).
(a version of the paper is also appears as "How (and Why) Do Climate Policy Costs Differ Among Countries?" in Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment, M. Schlesinger et al (eds.), 2007, Cambridge University Press, p. 282-293).

"Technology and Technical Change in the MIT EPPA Model," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004, Report 111, Cambridge, MA (with H. Jacoby, J. Reilly, and J. McFarland).
(also appears in Energy Economics, 2006, 28(5-6), p. 610-631).

"Disaggregating Household Transport in the MIT-EPPA Model," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004, Technical Note 5, Cambridge, MA (with L. Viguier, M. Babiker, J. Reilly, and K.H. Tay).

"Moving from Static to Dynamic General Equilibrium Economic Models (Notes for a beginner in MPSGE)," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004, Technical Note 4, Cambridge, MA.

"Russia's Role in the Kyoto Protocol," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2003, Report 98, Cambridge, MA (with A. Bernard, J. Reilly, M. Vielle, and L. Viguier).

"Emissions Trading to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the United States: The McCain-Lieberman Proposal," MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2003, Report 97, Cambridge, MA (with J. Reilly, H. Jacoby, A.D. Ellerman, and K.H. Tay).

"The Kyoto Protocol: Regional and Sectoral Contributions to the Carbon Leakage," The Energy Journal, 2001, 22(4), pp. 53-79.
(also appears as
"The Kyoto Agreement: Regional and Sectoral Contributions to the Carbon Leakage," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Colorado, 2000, Working Paper 00-5.)

"Macro-Experimental Economics in the Kyrgyz Republic: Social Security Sustainability and Pension Reform," Comparative Economic Studies, 2001, 43(3), pp 1-34 (with C.M. Becker).

"The Kyoto Protocol: "Hot Air" for Russia?" Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Colorado, 2000, Working Paper 00-9.

"GTAP-Energy in GAMS: The Dataset and Static Model," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Colorado, 2000, Working Paper 00-2 (with T. Rutherford).

"Distortion of photon correlation function in detection systems with paralyzable dead time effects," Journal of the Optical Society of America B, 1995, 12(9), pp. 1550-1554 (with V. Apanasovich).

"Modeling and comparative analysis of correlators of random flows of signals," Electronnoe Modelirovanie, 16(1), 1994, p. 84-87 (with V. Apanasovich, in Russian).


CGE Pedagogic Papers


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