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Designing Subsidies |
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In the few past cases where localized [World Bank] projects were extended into national programs, direct cost recovery from households was either negligible (Botswana, Indonesia's KIP) or partial (Tunisia). The key to financial sustainability was the central governments commitment to subsidies that were manageable - a condition that requires keeping investment costs low. The financial impact on government of such a commitment need not be unreasonable. Estimates based on project experience suggest that an upgrading program covering minimal water, sanitation, access roads and drainage improvements for the entire unserved urban population in LAC, East and South Asia, and Sub-Saharan Africa, based on policies permitting high settlement densities, may require 0.2 - 0.5 percent of GDP annually on average over a fifteen year period. (1) These levels would be feasible as reallocations of existing urban investment in some countries without necessarily claiming additional public resources for the urban sector. The specific design of a subsidy and its impact on incentives is critical for a program's effectiveness. Several of the recent urban and water/sanitation projects [of the World Bank] have specified subsidies as a fixed amount on a per capita basis, calibrated to the estimated costs of a very basic service level. This design keeps the total subsidy budget within a predictable limit while ensuring that the poorest households and communities will be able to obtain at least minimal services. Probably the best example of effective subsidy design for water and sanitation is found in Chile, which already has virtually universal coverage for these services but provides a targeted subsidy (a voucher scheme) to ensure that all households can afford the basic consumption level. The program, introduced to replace tariff cross-subsidies in 1990, features an efficient partnership among levels of government and the utility to direct the subsidy to the target population of urban poor.
This scheme requires a high quality of administration and has not been replicated to date in other developing countries.
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1 Based on the basic level of service (standpipe water, latrine, gravel access road, unlined storm drainage channels) for densities of 360-500 persons/ha. Adding the estimated requirements for incremental primary infrastructure investment would bring this range to about 0.3-0.7 percent of GDP per year. This does not include rehabilitation of deteriorated installations, O&M, or treatment of wastewater. See Christopher Banes, John Kalbermatten, and Piet Nankman, Infrastructure Provision for the Urban Poor: Assessing the Needs and Identifying the Alternatives, TWUDR draft, May 1996. |
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