The Net Advance of Physics: The Nature of Dark Matter, by Kim Griest -- Section 7E.
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What do the microlensing events mean for the dark matter
question? In order to answer, we need to know the efficiency with
which our system can detect microlensing. This is a non-trivial
calculation. In order to calculate our efficiencies, we add simulated
stars to real images, and then artificially brighten them. We run the
photometry code on these simulated images and find what the
photometry code returns when a star brightens under different
atmospheric and crowding conditions. These results are
incorporated into a large Monte Carlo in which simulated
microlensing events are added to our actual (non-microlensing)
data and fed into the same time-series analysis and selection
procedure which produced the 3 LMC microlensing candidates.
Thus we have explicitly taken into account inefficiencies caused by
bad weather and system down time, our analysis and selection
procedure, as well as blending of the underlying stars due to
crowding, and systematic errors in our photometry. Since in order
to calculate the expected number of events, we need to integrate a
theoretical microlensing rate over our measured efficiency, we need
efficiency as a function of .
The function can be found in
references [37, 38]. Once is calculated, the
number of expected
events is ,
where our total exposure
star-years, and
is a differential
microlensing rate which can be calculated given a model of the
dark halo [49, 50].
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Detection Efficiency