Recent Papers:

Cohen et al., 2023, No detectable trend in mid-latitude cold extremes during the recent period of Arctic amplification. Comm. Earth & Env., https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01008-9.

Blunden, J., T. Boyer, and E. Bartow-Gillies, Eds., State of the Climate in 2022. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104 (9), Si-S501. https://doi.org/10.1175/2023BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.

Preece et al., 2023, Summer Atmospheric Circulation Over Greenland in Response to Arctic Amplification and Diminished Spring Snow Cover. Nature Communications, 14, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-39466-6.

Mouatadid et al., 2023, Adaptive bias correction for improved subseasonal forecasting. Nature Communications, 14, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-38874-y.

Cohen et al., 2023, Response to Limited surface impacts of the January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming. Nature Communications, 14, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-38772-3.

Cai et al., Interdecadal variability of the warm Arctic-cold Eurasia pattern linked to the Barents Oscillation, Atmospheric Research, 287, 106712, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106712.

Cohen et al., 2022, The 'polar vortex' winter of 2013/14, Journal of Geophysical Research- Atmospheres, 127 (17), https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036493.

Weirich-Benet et al., Sub-seasonal Prediction of Central European Summer Heatwaves with Linear and Random Forest Machine Learning Models, AIES, 09 Jan 2023, https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0038.1.

Cohen et al., 2022, The 'polar vortex' winter of 2013/14, Journal of Geophysical Research- Atmospheres, 127 (17), https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036493.

Cohen et al., 2021, Linking Arctic variability and change with extreme winter weather in the US, Science, 373 (6559), DOI: 10.1126/science.abi9167.

Cohen et al., 2020, Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on mid-latitude severe winter weather. Nature Climate Change, 10, 20-29.

Romanowsky et al., 2019, The role of stratospheric ozone for Arctic-midlatitude linkages. Scientific Reports, 9, Article number: 7962.

Smith et al., 2019, The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification. Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 1139–1164, 2019.

Hwang et al., 2019, Improving subseasonal forecasting in the Western US with Machine Learning. KDD 2019.

Cohen et al., 2018b, S2S Reboot: An Argument for Greater Inclusion of Machine Learning in Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Forecasts. WIREs Climate Change, doi:10.1002/wcc.567.

Kretschmer et al., 2018, The different stratospheric influences on cold extremes in northern Eurasia and North America, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi:10.1038/s41612-018-0054-4..

Agel et al., 2018, Dynamical analysis of extreme precipitation in the US northeast based on large-scale meteorological patterns. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4223-2.

Cohen et al., 2018, Warm Arctic episodes linked with increased frequency of extreme winter weather in the United States. Nature Communications, 9, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-02992-9.

Cohen et al., 2018a, Arctic change and possible influence on mid-latitude climate and weather. US CLIVAR Report 2018-1, 41pp, doi:10.5065/D6TH8KGW.

Totz et al., 2017, Winter precipitation forecast in the European and Mediterranean regions using cluster analysis, Geophysical Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075674.

Kretschmer et al., 2018, More-persistent weak stratospheric polar vortex states linked to cold extremes, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0259.1.

Francis et al., 2017, Amplified Arctic Warming and Mid-Latitude Weather: New Perspectives on Emerging Connections, WIRES Climate Change, e474. doi: 10.1002/wcc.474.

Cohen et al., Winter 2015/16: A turning point in ENSO-based seasonal forecasts, Oceanography, 30, https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2017.115, 2017.

Cohen, 2016b, El nino dons winter disguise as La Nina - Correspondence, Nature, 533, 179, 2016.

Cohen, 2016a, An Observational Analysis: Tropical Relative to Arctic influence on Mid-latitude Weather in the Era of Arctic Amplification, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2016GL069102.

Furado et al, 2016, The Combined Inuences of Autumnal Snow and Sea Ice on Northern Hemisphere Winters, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL068108.

Cohen et al, 2015, Trends and variability in rain-on-snow events, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2015GL065320.

Doerthe et al, 2015, Impacts of Arctic sea-ice and continental snow-cover changes on atmospheric winter teleconnections, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2015GL063203.

Furtado et al, 2015, Eurasian Snow Cover Variability and Links to Winter Climate in the CMIP5 Models, Climate Dynamics, in press.

Cohen et al, 2014, Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather, Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/ngeo2234.

Schummer et al, 2014, Atmospheric teleconnections and Eurasian snow cover as predictors of a weather severity index in relation to Mallard Anas platyrhynchos autumn-winter migration, Waterfowl, 4, 451-469.

Cohen et al, 2014, Linking siberian snow cover to precursors of stratospheric variability, Journal of Climate, 27, 5422-5432.

Ye et al, 2013, Impact of increased water vapor on precipitation efficiency over Northern Eurasia, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2014GL059830.

Cohen et al, 2013, Warm Arctic, cold continents: A common pattern related to Arctic sea ice melt, snow advance, and extreme winter weather, Oceanography, 26(4), http://dx.doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2013.70.

Riddle et al, 2013, CFSv2 ensemble prediction of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 41, 1099-1116.

Ye et al, 2013, Discrimination of solid from liquid precipitation over Northern Eurasia using surface atmospheric conditions, Journal of Hydrometeorology, in press.

Foster et al, 2013, A look at the date of snowmelt and correlations with the the Arctic Oscillation, Annals of Glaciology, in press.

Ye and Cohen, 2013, A shorter snowfall season associated with higher air temperatures over northern Eurasia, Environmental Research Letters, 8, 014052, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014052.

Brands et al, 2012, Seasonal Predictability of Wintertime Precipitation in Europe using the Snow Advance Index, Journal of Climate, in press.

Hopsch et al, 2012, Analysis between fall Arctic sea ice concentration and atmospheric patterns in the following winter, Tellus A, Tellus, 64, 18624, http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.18624.

Foster et al, 2012, Passive Microwave Remote Sensing of the Historic February 2010 Snowstorms in the Middle Atlantic Region of the USA, Hydrological Processes, doi: 10.1002/hyp.8418.

Cohen et al, 2012, Asymmeric seasonal temperature trends, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2011GL050582.

Cohen et al, 2012, Arctic warming, increasing snow cover and widespread boreal winter cooling, Environmental Research Letters, 7, 014007, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/014007.

Jaiser et al, 2012, Impact of sea ice cover changes on the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric winter circulation, Tellus, 64, 11595, DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.11595.

Cohen and Jones, 2011, A new index for more accurate winter predictions, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L21701, doi:10.1029/2011GL049626.

Cohen and Jones, 2011, Tropospheric precursors and stratospheric warmings, Journal of Climate, 24, 6562-6572.

Smith et al., 2011, The role of linear interference in Northern Annular Mode variability associated with Eurasian snow cover extent, Journal of Climate, 24, 6185-6202.

Jones and Cohen, 2011, A diagnostic comparison of Alaskan and Siberian strong anticyclones, Journal of Climate, 24, 2599-2611.

Cohen et al., 2010, Winter 2009/2010: A case study of an extreme Arctic Oscillation event, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L17707, doi:10.1029/2010GL044256 (auxiliary material included as an attachment).

Cohen et al., 2009, Decadal fluctuations in planetary wave forcing modulate global warming in late boreal winter, Journal of Climate, 22, 4418-4426.

Fletcher et al., 2009, The response to snow cover in a large ensemble of atmospheric GCM integrations, Journal of Climate, in press.

Hardiman et al., 2008, Investigating the ability of general circulation models to capture the effects of Eurasian snow on winter climate, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D21123, doi:10.1029/2008JD010623.

Cohen et al., 2007, Stratosphere-Troposphere coupling and links with Eurasian land-surface variability, Journal of Climate, 20, 5335-5343.

Cohen and Fletcher, 2007, Improved skill of Northern Hemisphere winter surface temperature predictions based on land-atmosphere fall anomalies, Journal of Climate, 20, 4118-4132.

Fletcher et al., 2007, Stratopsheric control of the extratropical circulation response to surface forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L21802, doi:10.1029/2007GL031626.

Cohen and Barlow, 2005c, The AO, NAO, and global warming: How closely related? Journal of Climate, 18, 4498-4513.

Cohen et al., 2005b, Comments on "The lifecycle of the Northern Hemisphere sudden stratospheric warmings", Journal of Climate, 18, 2775-2777.

Cohen et al., 2005a, The role of boundary conditions in AMIP-2 simulations of the NAO, Journal of Climate, 18, 973-981.

Saito et al., 2004, Changes in the subdecadal covariability between Northern Hemisphere snow cover and the general circulation of the atmosphere, J. Int. Climatol., 24, 33-44.

Gong et al., 2004, Sensitivity of atmospheric response to modeled snow anomaly characteristics, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D06107, doi:10.1029/2003JD0045160.

Cohen and Saito, 2003, Eurasian snow cover, more skillful in predicting U.S. winter climate than the NAO/AO?, Geophys. Res. Lett.

Gong et al., 2003, Relative impacts of Siberian and North American snow anomalies on the winter Northern Hemisphere mode, Geophys. Res. Lett.

Gong et al., 2004, Orographic constraints on a modeled Siberian snow - Arctic Oscillation teleconnection pathway, Journal of Climate, 17, 1176-1189.

Gong et al., 2003, Modeled Northern Hemisphere winter climate response to realistic Siberian snow anomalies, Journal of Climate, 16, 3917-3931.

Cohen, 2003, Introducing sub-seasonal and temporal resolution to winter climate prediction, Geophys. Res. Lett.

Saito and Cohen, 2003, The potential role of snow cover in forcing interannual variability of the major Northern Hemisphere mode, Geophys. Res. Lett.

Gong et al., 2002, A large ensemble model study of the wintertime AO/NAO and the role of interannual snow perturbations, Journal of Climate, 15, 3488-3499.

Cohen et al., 2002, A dynamical framework to understand and predict the major Northern Hemisphere mode, Geophys. Res. Lett.

Cohen and Saito, 2002, A test for annular modes, Journal of Climate, 15, 2537-2546.

Cohen and Entekhabi, 2001, The influence of snow cover on northern hemisphere climate variability, Atmosphere-Ocean, 39:1, 35-53.