Written
by Sara Barnowski
The plan that we are proposing for the
rebuilding of the
city of New Orleans
(Plan 2 on the Cost
Calculation
page) is
a compromise between returning the city to pre-Katrina levels and
demolishing
the city in order to let nature run her course. We
intend to downsize the city so that the neighborhoods
of Lakeview, West End, Read Boulevard
East, and Village DeL’Est are
depopulated and turned to open space. We
believe that it is important to maintain historical districts, restore
wetlands, divert the Mississippi River,
reimburse displaced people, conduct research in order to keep all plans
and
procedures up to date, and implement many other projects.
We are estimating that the short-term (0-50
years) costs for these developments will be around $22.7 billion. This figure will be augmented by a $1 million
bill for each home that the government subsidizes and brings up to the
new
specifications. These costs are based
both on similar projects that have taken place in the past, and on
costs that
are projected by organizations planning similar projects for the New Orleans area. The long-term costs (50-100 years) for our
plan total nearly $83 billion. These
numbers are extrapolated and are highly dependent on future assessment
of the
city. While this price tag may look
intimidating, we feel that the plan is the most beneficial to both the
residents and the ecosystems of the area. It
works toward reducing the city—its population, its
industry, and its
infrastructure—and returning the wetlands to a healthy state. It also insures that increasing subsidence,
rising sea levels, and heightening storm intensity will have the least
impact
on human life.
In order to put this cost in perspective we
calculated the
prices of reconstructing the city to pre-Katrina levels and of
completely
demolishing the city. The first plan
(Plan 1 on the Cost
Calculation
page)
includes replacing all housing and infrastructure, rebuilding the
topped and
destroyed levees, as well as resurrecting the commercial and industrial
economy. However, it does not include
improvements to levees, wetlands, zoning, or anything else regarding
the
enhanced safety of the city. To do just
that would cost approximately $48.5 billion in the next 10 to 50 years. The projected costs are compiled from the
United
States Department of Homeland Security’s current plan for the city. Many of the given numbers were funds
designated to the gulf coast region affected by Hurricane Katrina. We modified these numbers based on our
estimations of the amount of money that would be allocated specifically
to Louisiana
for
reconstruction. (These numbers are
approximations, but they are to be used solely for reference.) This is not only more expensive in the
short-term, but it only brings the city back to its previous state of
preparedness. It does nothing to address
the issues raised by hurricane Katrina, such as faulty levees, wetland
loss, or
poor evacuation plans. This would create
many more long-term costs because it would leave the city vulnerable to
further
destruction in the future. Quite
obviously this is not the most appropriate solution to the problem
facing New Orleans.
The final plan (Plan 3 on the Cost
Calculation page) compares the cost of the opposite extreme. Theoretically we could completely destroy the
remaining infrastructure and remove all of the debris so that the river
could
overflow its banks and reclaim the area as a flood basin.
This would disregard the social and cultural
benefits of the city of New
Orleans. The nation
would not only loose a culturally
and historically rich area, but it would also loose billions of dollars
in
income from tourism and industry. In
addition to this would be the actual cost of demolishing the city and
safely
removing and getting rid of the debris. The
total of these costs is approximately $293 billion in the next 10 to 50
years. While this is more expensive in the short-term the
long-term costs are relatively insignificant because the area would
essentially be abandoned to nature. The overall cost would be far
greater than our plan. But regardless of cost, it would be
difficult to implement a plan like this. The remaining citizens of New
Orleans are very loyal to their city, and it would be unjust to force
them to pick up their lives so that the river could reclaim their
land.
Speaking realistically, the plan that we
have created is the
most cost effective and the most beneficial to the city of New Orleans.